Ketel Marte and the Arizona Diamondbacks will be taking the field against the New York Mets at Citi Field in a Thursday matinee. SportsNet New York will be televising this NL matchup and the action gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets Odds
Sportsbooks have Arizona (+130) as the underdog to New York (-140). If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to finish under 8.5 runs, then Vegas is teeing up -110 odds. Picking the over can give you -110 odds. This game currently has a runline of Diamondbacks +1.5 (-170) and Mets -1.5 (+150).
The Diamondbacks are 75-71 SU and have gone 83-62 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 16.7 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 75-70 SU and 73-71 ATS. They’ve lost 8.2 units for moneyline bettors and 5.6 units ATS.
New York games have an over/under record of 73-59-12 in 2019. Arizona has an over/under record of 65-69-11.
The southpaw Alex Young will get the start for Arizona. Young is 7-3 with a 3.38 ERA and 58 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Mets are putting the ball in the hands of righty Marcus Stroman (7-13, 3.42 ERA), who has 136 strikeouts and 49 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.34. Stroman is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 9.53 ERA in one start against Arizona this year.
Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.35 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.68 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.34, along with a K/9 of 8.69.
The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .256/.327/.443 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Arizona’s offensive production has been sparked by Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar, who’ve collectively launched 66 home runs. Marte is hitting .329/.389/.596 with 32 home runs, 91 RBIs and 96 runs scored, while Escobar (.272/.323/.532) is up to 34 homers, 112 RBIs and 90 runs scored.
For the home team, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.7 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.92, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 5.16 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
The New York hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .268/.351/.506 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ hitters have been led by shortstop Amed Rosario and left fielder Jeff McNeil. Rosario is hitting .288/.325/.428 with 12 home runs, 60 RBIs, 69 runs and 17 stolen bases, while McNeil’s line is .325/.394/.536 with 20 homers, 68 RBIs and 76 runs.
Diamondbacks vs. Mets Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Arizona has logged eight extra-base hits over its last five games. New York has 21 XBH over its last five.
- Arizona fielders have zero errors over the last five outin, compared to three errors for New York over its last five.
- The Diamondbacks have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 19 over their last 10.
- The Diamondbacks have an OPS of .770 this season and an OPS of .735 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .771 overall and .762 versus righties.
