The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to play the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be televising this NL matchup.
Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Arizona (+100) is coming into this one as the underdog to Milwaukee (-110) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoons game at 8.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the games total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. The games most recent runline odds stand at -210 for taking the Diamondbacks +1.5 runs and +175 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Diamondbacks have gone 25-23 SU this year and are 21-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 4.3 units for moneyline bettors in the seasons early going, despite having lost 6.2 units ATS. Arizona has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 30-19 SU and 29-19 ATS. The team has gained 12.7 units for moneyline bettors and 7.8 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 18-28-2 thus far in 2018. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 20-25-2.
Zack Godley will get the nod for the visiting Diamondbacks. The right-handed Godley is 4-3 with a 3.78 ERA and 49 strikeouts. He has yet to face Milwaukee this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2017, posting a 1-0 record with a 1.42 ERA and 10 strikeouts.
The Brewers are sending lefty Brent Suter (3-3, 4.72 ERA) to the mound. Suter has 36 punchouts and 10 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.34. Suter did not record a start against the Diamondbacks in 2017.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 3.6 runs per game overall this season. The teams starting pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.53, a WHIP of 1.11 and a K/9 of 10.3.
The Milwaukee offense has produced 4.0 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .242/.304/.452 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers batters have been led by right fielder Lorenzo Cain and third baseman Travis Shaw. Cain is hitting .283/.391/.452 with six home runs, 15 RBIs, 29 runs and 10 steals, while Shaw’s line sits at .243/.325/.503 with 11 homers, 28 RBIs and 28 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.77 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.44 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.56, along with a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 8.02.
The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .215/.296/.369 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 1.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 1.6 per game over the teams last five contests (0-5 SU).
Outfielders A.J. Pollock and David Peralta have led Arizona’s offense. Pollock is hitting .293/.349/.620 with 11 home runs, 33 RBIs, 23 runs and nine steals, while Peralta is hitting .265/.342/.446 with seven homers, 21 RBIs and 20 runs scored.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .268/.333/.475, Pollock seemed to have a little trouble hitting left-handed pitchers on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of .192/.253/.356 across 79 such plate appearances.
The Diamondbacks have gained 7.3 units and are 10-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to eight that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 11.4 units and are 24-13 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 22 that went under.
Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The Diamondbacks have lost 12 of their last 13 games SU while the Brewers have won five of their last six SU.
- Milwaukee has posted 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.0 over its last five.
- The Diamondbacks have hit four home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
