The Miami Marlins are set to host the Arizona Diamondbacks at Marlins Park. The game gets underway 1:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will be airing this NL matchup.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Arizona (-160) is entering this game as the favorite against Miami (+150) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Diamondbacks -1.5 runs (-110) and Marlins +1.5 runs (-110).
The Marlins are 52-49 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 39-63 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 2.2 units for moneyline bettors and 7.2 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have gone 53-52 SU this year and are 59-45 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 0.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.8 units ATS. Arizona is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in three of those seven.
Marlins games have a 43-51-7 over/under record in 2019. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 49-47-8.
Robbie Ray will get the start for the visiting Diamondbacks. The southpaw Ray is 9-6 with a 3.95 ERA and 162 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and six strikeouts over six innings).
The Marlins will put the ball in the right hand of Elieser Hernandez (1-4, 5.24 ERA), who has 39 strikeouts and 10 walks this season as well as a 1.25 WHIP. Hernandez made two starts against the Diamondbacks in 2018, compiling a 0-2 record with a 9.00 ERA.
As a unit, Miami’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 4.08 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.82 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
The Miami offense has put up 3.5 runs per contest, including 2.6 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .199/.228/.340 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Miguel Rojas have paced the Marlins’ offense this year. Castro is slashing .252/.280/.360 with eight home runs, 42 RBIs and 28 runs scored, and Rojas is batting .287 with 100 hits, 30 RBIs and 37 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.19 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.69 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.35, along with a WHIP of 1.25.
Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .259/.328/.447 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game this season, including 6.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar continue to lead Arizona’s offense. Marte is slashing .318/.374/.571 with 22 home runs, 62 RBIs and 68 runs scored, while Escobar is hitting .289/.342/.543 with 22 homers, 80 RBIs and 66 runs scored.
The Diamondbacks have lost 1.7 units and are 43-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 1.2 units and are 17-10 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 15 of those games, as opposed to 10 that’ve gone under.
Diamondbacks at Marlins Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Arizona has recorded 13 extra-base hits over its last five games. Miami has 12 XBH over its last five.
- The Diamondbacks have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit eight over their last 10.
- The Diamondbacks have a team OPS of .775 this season and an OPS of .746 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS sits at .655 overall and .647 versus righties.
- Arizona has recorded 24.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.2 over its last five.
