The Arizona Diamondbacks are heading east to square off against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. This NL matchup begins at 7:05 p.m. ET and you can catch the game on either ATPT or FSAZ.
Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Pittsburgh (-130) as the favorite over Arizona (+120). The total sits at 7.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -115 and the under for -105. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -175 for betting the Diamondbacks +1.5 runs and +155 for the Pirates -1.5.
The Diamondbacks have gone 11-11 SU this year and are 14-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 3.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline over the early part of the year and 5.8 units ATS. Arizona’s covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 12-7 SU and 12-6 ATS. They’ve gained 8.1 units for moneyline bettors and 4.9 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 7-11 thus far in 2019. Arizona has an over/under record of 11-8-2.
Zack Godley will get the nod for the visiting Diamondbacks. The right-handed Godley is 1-1 with a 6.26 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 3.00 ERA and five strikeouts over six innings).
The Pirates are going with righty Joe Musgrove (1-1, 0.81 ERA), who has 21 punchouts and four walks, along with a WHIP of 0.76. Musgrove made two starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 0-1 record in 2018, compiling a 0-1 record with a 6.30 ERA.
As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has given up 3.1 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 2.11, a WHIP of 1.01 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 3.34 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 11.8 K/9.
The Pittsburgh offense is putting up 3.6 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .193/.258/.320 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
First baseman Josh Bell and right fielder Melky Cabrera have led the Pirates’ batters so far. Bell is slashing .303/.385/.591 with four home runs, 15 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Cabrera’s line is .316/.339/.421 with 18 hits, four RBIs and five runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.61 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.37 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.99, along with a K/9 of 8.76.
Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .265/.329/.462 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Arizona’s offense has been sparked by outfielders David Peralta and Adam Jones. Peralta is hitting .337/.378/.543 with three home runs, 11 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Jones is hitting .299/.371/.540 with five homers, 13 RBIs and 11 runs scored.
The Diamondbacks have lost 0.5 units and are 8-4 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 5.2 units and are 8-4 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in four of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under.
Diamondbacks at Pirates Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in four of Arizona’s last seven games.
- The Diamondbacks have an OPS of .791 this season and an OPS of .750 against right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS sits at .670 overall and .702 versus righties.
- Pittsburgh has recorded 17.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.0 over its last five.
- The Diamondbacks have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
