The Miami Marlins are facing off against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Marlins Park. Fox Sports Arizona will broadcast this NL matchup and the action gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Miami (+100) as the underdog to Arizona (-110). The total sits at eight runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Diamondbacks -1.5 runs (+135) and Marlins +1.5 runs (-155).
The Marlins are 52-50 against the spread (ATS), but just 40-63 straight up (SU). The team has lost 3.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.7 units ATS. The Diamondbacks are 53-53 SU and have gone 60-45 ATS. Overall, the club has gained 1.1 units for moneyline bettors and 12.2 units ATS.
Marlins games have an over/under record of 44-51-7 in 2019. Arizona has an over/under record of 50-47-8.
Merrill Kelly will get the nod for the visiting Diamondbacks. The right-handed Kelly (7-10, 4.22 ERA) has recorded 96 strikeouts in 119.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Marlins are turning to lefty Caleb Smith (6-4, 3.30 ERA), who has 110 punchouts and 30 walks, in addition to a 1.02 WHIP. Smith only made one start against the Diamondbacks in 2018 (0-1, 11.25 ERA and five strikeouts across four innings).
Miami’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.07, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 4.75 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
The Miami offense is putting up 3.6 runs per outing, including 2.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .229/.258/.408 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Marlins’ batters have been led by Miguel Rojas, who is slashing .290/.343/.375 with three home runs, 31 RBIs and 39 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.17 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.77 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.37, along with a WHIP of 1.25.
Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .258/.328/.445 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Ketel Marte has provided a spark to the Arizona offense. Marte is slashing .318/.376/.570 with 22 home runs, 62 RBIs and 68 runs scored.
The Marlins are coming off a 5-1 win in the prior game of the series.
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in three of Miami’s last seven games.
- The Diamondbacks have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
- The Diamondbacks have an OPS of .773 this season, including an OPS of .843 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS stands at .657 overall and .674 against lefties.
- Arizona has recorded 19.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.0 over its last five.
- The Marlins have won four of their last five games SU.
