The Arkansas Razorbacks (16-14, 7-10 SEC) welcome the Alabama Crimson Tide (17-13, 8-9 SEC) to Bud Walton Arena as the regular season comes to a conclusion. Action gets underway at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 9, 2019, and can be seen on SEC Network.
Alabama Crimson Tide at Arkansas Razorbacks ATS Odds
In their last game, the Razorbacks had no trouble getting past the Vanderbilt Commodores, 84-48, while the Crimson Tide lost to the Auburn Tigers, 66-60.
Arkansas played a nearly perfect game. They had a turnover percentage of 14.3 (better than their season average of 16.3) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.623 (above their season average of 0.509). For those same stats, Vanderbilt was 27.4 and 0.352, respectively. Alabama, on the other hand, had a better free throw rate (0.224 vs. 0.183). Mason Jones played well for Arkansas, recording 16 points, six rebounds and five assists. Kira Lewis Jr. was a key piece for Alabama with 13 points.
The Razorbacks won the sole game between these two teams last season, 76-73. The Razorbacks’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over the Crimson Tide. Arkansas had a rate of 40.6, while Alabama posted a mark of 28.1. This is the first time these teams will clash this year.
This contest should be a showdown of conflicting paces. Arkansas has preferred to play up-tempo (40th in possessions per game), while Alabama has been more half-court-oriented (180th in possessions per game).
Alabama at Arkansas Pick
College Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Alabama, ATS Winner – Alabama, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Arkansas ranks 20th in steals per game (8.2) while Alabama ranks 227th (4.5).
- The Razorbacks rank 20th in assists per game (16.2) while the Crimson Tide rank 193rd (12.4).
- Arkansas blocks 4.9 opponent shots per game, which is ranked 12th in the NCAA. Alabama ranks 158th in blocks allowed per game (4.0).
- The Crimson Tide rank 65th in rebounds per game (37.5) while the Razorbacks rank 262nd in rebounds allowed per game (38.3).
- Alabama ranks 32nd in three pointers allowed per game (19.3) while Arkansas ranks 206th (24.0).
Bettings Trends:
- The Crimson Tide have been outscored by an average of 1.4 points in their last five games. On the season, Alabama has defeated opponents by an average of 1.4 points.
- During their last five games, the Razorbacks have scored an average of 72.0 points per game (4.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 71.4 points per game (1.5 below their season average).
