The Dallas Mavericks (34-22) will travel to State Farm Arena to go head-to-head against the Atlanta Hawks (16-41). The Mavericks opened as 6-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 239 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 22, 2020.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Atlanta Hawks ATS Odds
Both teams covered in their last contest. The Hawks (6-point underdogs) defeated the Miami Heat 129-124, while the Mavericks (8.5-point underdog) beat the Orlando Magic 122-106. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Atlanta game went 24 points over the projected point total of 229, while the Dallas game went 2 points over the projected point total of 226.
The Mavericks knocked down 21 of their 26 free throws (80.8 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.601 (above their season average of 0.546). The Hawks, on the other hand, had a great effective field goal percentage of 0.576 (above their season average of 0.512) and had a free throw rate of 0.365 (above their season average of 0.202). Trae Young played well for Atlanta, finishing with 50 points and eight assists. Luka Doncic, meanwhile played a pivotal role for Dallas with 33 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists.
In their first matchup this year, Jalen Brunson led the Mavericks to a 123-100 win. He scored a game-high 27 points. The two teams combined to put up 223 points, which was under the projected point total of 236, and Dallas covered as a 5-point favorite. Dallas’ effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Atlanta. The Mavericks had a rate of 0.574 while the Hawks posted a mark of 0.462.
Oddsmakers tend to set the total low when the Mavericks are playing, as 35 of their 55 games have ended over the total. Dallas holds records of 34-22 straight up (SU) and 32-23 against the spread (ATS).
Similarly to Dallas, Hawks games also have typically gone over the O/U total (57.9 percent). Further, Atlanta owns records of 16-41 SU and 26-30-1 ATS.
This game should be a battle of opposite tempos. Atlanta has preferred to play up-tempo (third in possessions per game), while Dallas has been more half-court-oriented (21st in possessions per game). Additionally, the Mavericks’ top-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 115.4) will battle against the Hawks’ 28th-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 112.2).
Dallas Mavericks vs. Atlanta Hawks ATS Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Hawks rank eighth in three pointers attempted per game (35.5) while the Mavericks rank 17th in three pointers allowed per game (34.0).
- Dallas ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while Atlanta ranks 29th (6.3).
- The Mavericks average 47.1 rebounds per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Hawks rank 27th in rebounds allowed per game (47.1).
- Atlanta ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (50.3) while Dallas ranks 26th (44.5).
- Atlanta averages 12.2 fast break points per game, which ranks 18th in the NBA. Dallas ranks 29th in fast break points allowed per game (16.5).
- The Mavericks rank third in second chance points per game (14.5) while the Hawks rank 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.9).
- The Mavericks rank ninth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while the Hawks rank 28th (9.0).
- Dallas ranks 14th in assists per game (24.3) while Atlanta ranks 18th in assists allowed per game (24.7).
- Dallas ranks sixth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.6) while Atlanta ranks 29th (19.9).
- When holding opponents below 100 points, Dallas is 8-0 and Atlanta is 4-0.
- When reaching 100 points, the Mavericks are 34-20 and the Hawks are 16-34.
- Atlanta is 16-10-1 ATS at home, while Dallas is 20-6 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 17 of the Mavericks’ 26 road games, while 15 of the Hawks’ 27 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Hawks are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Mavericks are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Atlanta has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Dallas has 5 overs.
- The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.2, down from 8.5 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 121.0 points per game (4.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.8 points per game (1.4 above their season average).
