San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets ATS Prediction 02/10/20

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The Denver Nuggets (37-16) welcome the San Antonio Spurs (22-30) to Pepsi Center. The Spurs are 6-point underdogs and will attempt to put an end to a five-game road losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 221 points and it can be seen on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, February 10, 2020.

San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets Betting Odds

The Nuggets beat the Phoenix Suns in their last outing, 117-108, covering as 3.5-point favorites. The Spurs, meanwhile, were blown out by the Sacramento Kings, 122-102, and were not able to cover as 2-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Denver game went 7 points over the projected point total of 218, while the San Antonio game finished 2 points over the projected point total of 222.

Denver’s 0.616 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Phoenix, who had a mark of 0.489. The Nuggets’ mark was above their season average of 0.521. San Antonio, on the other hand, did a fantastic job of converting from the free throw line (13-18; 72.2 percent). Jamal Murray had a solid performance for Denver, finishing with 36 points, five rebounds and five assists. San Antonio was led by Dejounte Murray, who had 17 points, nine rebounds and nine assists.

The Nuggets edged out the Spurs in this series last year, winning six out of 11 contests. In the most recent matchup, Denver won 90-86. Denver’s rebounding was their largest strength. The Nuggets had 13 offensive rebounds and 53 total rebounds, while the Spurs had eight and 45, respectively. This is the first time these teams will meet this year.

Oddsmakers tend to place the total low when the Spurs are involved, as 59.6 percent of their contests have gone over the O/U total. San Antonio comes into the game with records of 22-30 straight up (SU) and 21-29-2 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to San Antonio, games including the Nuggets tend to go under the O/U total (56.6 percent). Moreover, Denver is 37-16 SU and 24-23-6 ATS.

Expect this one to be a clinic on boxing out as two of the league’s top rebounding teams clash. The Nuggets currently rank second in offensive rebounding percentage (25.2 percent), while San Antonio ranks fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.0 percent).

San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets Odds Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Denver ranks fourth in second chance points per game (14.5) while San Antonio ranks 28th (11.2).
  • The Nuggets rank 10th in steals per game (8.1) while the Spurs rank 25th (6.8).
  • Denver ranks 14th in points off turnovers per game (16.7) while San Antonio ranks 27th (14.7).
  • Denver ranks 26th in three pointers attempted per game (30.6) while San Antonio ranks 29th (28.3).
  • The Nuggets rank ninth in points in the paint per game (49.1) while the Spurs rank 29th (43.7).
  • The Spurs average 5.5 blocks per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. The Nuggets rank 13th in blocks allowed per game (4.9).
  • Denver ranks fifth in assists per game (26.2) while San Antonio ranks 25th in assists allowed per game (25.7).
  • San Antonio is 2-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Denver is 13-1.
  • The Nuggets are 34-11 when they score above 100 points, while the Spurs are 22-25.
  • Denver is 11-12-3 ATS at home, while San Antonio is 12-12-2 ATS on the road.
  • Of the Spurs’ 26 road games, they have 17 overs, 8 unders and 1 push.
  • The Nuggets have 16 unders and 10 overs in 26 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Denver has 4 overs and 1 under, while San Antonio has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 118.4 points per game (8.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.0 points per game (2.8 above their season average).
  • The Spurs’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.8, up from 1.4 for the season.