Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Free Prediction 02/10/20

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Dallas Mavericks (32-21) will be 1-point underdogs at home in the American Airlines Center when they go head-to-head with the Utah Jazz (34-18). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 220.5 points and it starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, February 10, 2020.

Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last outing. The Mavericks (3-point favorites) defeated the Charlotte Hornets 116-100, while the Jazz (10.5-point underdog) beat the Houston Rockets 114-113. The Dallas game went 4 points over the projected point total of 212, while the Utah game went 3.5 points under the projected point total of 230.5.

Utah dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.174 (below their season average of 0.205) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.6 (above their season average of 21.0). Houston recorded marks of 0.105 and 15.6, respectively, for those same stats. The Mavericks, on the other hand, had a ridiculous effective field goal percentage of 0.603 (above their season average of 0.543) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.9 (above their season average of 24.8). Dallas’ Seth Curry led the way, finishing with 26 points and six rebounds. Meanwhile, Utah received a boost from Jordan Clarkson, who put up 30 points and six rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Rudy Gobert led the Jazz to a 112-107 win. He recorded a double-double with 22 points and 17 rebounds. Utah covered as a 4-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 219 points, which was under the projected point total of 227. Utah’s free throw rate was their biggest strength over Dallas. The Jazz had a rate of 0.187, while the Mavericks posted a mark of 0.072.

A little over half of the Jazz’s games have finished over the total. Utah heads into the contest with records of 34-18 straight up (SU) and 24-25-2 against the spread (ATS).

Mavericks games have a tendency to go over the total (62.3 percent). Moreover, Dallas is 32-21 SU and 31-22 ATS.

This matchup pits one of the NBA’s top offenses against one of its elite defensesDallas currently ranks fifth in effective field goal percentage (0.544), while Utah is fifth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.509).

Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks Odds Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Mavericks rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.4) while the Jazz rank 13th (45.6).
  • Dallas ranks second in second chance points per game (14.9) while Utah ranks 25th (12.1).
  • The Mavericks rank fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.6) while the Jazz rank 16th (16.9).
  • Dallas ranks 15th in assists per game (24.1) while Utah ranks 26th (22.1).
  • Utah ranks 17th in points in the paint per game (47.8) while Dallas ranks 26th (44.6).
  • The Jazz rank 14th in fast break points allowed per game (12.7) while the Mavericks rank last (16.5).
  • The Mavericks rank 18th in blocks per game (4.7) while the Jazz rank 28th (4.0).
  • Neither of these teams are great at stealing the ball. Dallas is 28th in the league with 6.1 steals per game while Utah is last with 5.8 steals per game.
  • Utah ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (31.2) while Dallas ranks 16th (33.7).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Dallas is 8-0 and Utah is 12-2.
  • In games where they score above 100 points, the Mavericks are 32-19 and the Jazz are 33-12.
  • Dallas is 11-16 ATS at home, while Utah is 12-14-1 ATS on the road.
  • In 27 road games, the Jazz have 14 overs and 13 unders.
  • The Mavericks have 16 overs and 11 unders in 27 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Mavericks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Jazz are 0-5.
  • In their last five games, Dallas has 4 overs and 1 under, while Utah has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.6, up from 5.9 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 106.6 points per game (4.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.0 points per game (3.9 above their season average).