The Alcorn State Braves (10-11, 6-4 SWAC), 3-point underdogs, will be at the Assembly Center to go head-to-head with the Grambling State Tigers (12-11, 6-4 SWAC) in a SWAC matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 140 points and it gets underway at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, February 10, 2020.
Alcorn State Braves at Grambling State Tigers Betting Odds
In their last outing, the Tigers (4-point favorites) beat the Southern University Jaguars, 66-62, while the Braves (3-point underdogs) lost big to the Jackson State Tigers, 86-57. The Grambling State game went 4.5 points under the projected point total of 132.5, while the Alcorn State game went 4.5 points over the projected point total of 138.5.
The Tigers knocked down 22 of their 28 free throws (78.6 percent) and held the Jaguars to an effective field goal percentage of 0.411 (below their season average of 0.491). Alcorn State, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (13.9 vs. 13.9). Grambling State’s DeVante Jackson led the way, recording 23 points and nine rebounds. Alcorn State was led by Troymain Crosby, who finished with 15 points.
In their first matchup this season, Maurice Howard led the Braves to an 87-69 win. He was the game’s leading scorer with 24 points. Alcorn State covered as a 2.5-point underdog and the two teams combined to score 156 points, which was well over the projected point total of 141. Alcorn State’s free throw rate was their biggest strength over Grambling State. The Braves had a rate of 0.271, while the Tigers posted a mark of 0.170.
Of the Braves’ 17 games with betting action, 12 have gone over the total. Alcorn State holds records of 10-11 straight up (SU) and 8-9 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Alcorn State, games featuring the Tigers have typically gone under the O/U total (63.2 percent). Additionally, Grambling State is 12-11 SU and 7-11-1 ATS.
Alcorn State vs. Grambling State Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Grambling State, ATS Winner – Grambling State, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- Alcorn State ranks 62nd in three pointers attempted per game (24.8) while Grambling State ranks 285th (16.1).
- The Tigers average 36.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 99th in the NCAA. The Braves rank 130th in rebounds allowed per game (34.6).
- Grambling State ranks 64th in blocks per game (4.0) while Alcorn State ranks 76th in blocks allowed per game (3.0).
- The Tigers rank 70th in steals per game (7.3) while the Braves rank 171st in steals allowed per game (7.1).
- Alcorn State averages 13.9 assists per game, which ranks 105th in the NCAA. Grambling State ranks 203rd in assists allowed per game (13.9).
- Grambling State is 1-3-1 ATS at home, while Alcorn State is 7-6 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 10 of the Braves’ 13 road games, while 5 of the Tigers’ 5 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Tigers are 1-3-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Braves are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Grambling State has 4 unders and 1 over, while Alcorn State has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Tigers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.2, down from 3.0 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Braves have scored an average of 68.6 points per game (4.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 70.2 points per game (0.1 above their season average).
