The Los Angeles Lakers (38-12) will be at the Chase Center to challenge the Golden State Warriors (12-40) in a Pacific Division matchup. Action starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 8, 2020.
Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors Betting Odds
Both teams lost in their last outing. The Warriors (6-point underdogs) were defeated by the Brooklyn Nets, 129-88, while the Lakers (4-point favorites) fell to the Houston Rockets, 121-111. The Golden State game went 5.5 points under the projected point total of 222.5, while the Los Angeles game went 7 points under the projected point total of 239.
Los Angeles had a better turnover percentage (13.3 vs. 14.7) while Golden State had a turnover percentage of 6.3 (better than their season average of 12.4). Golden State’s D’Angelo Russell had a good game, putting up 17 points. Meanwhile, Los Angeles received a boost from Anthony Davis, who recorded 32 points and 13 rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, JaVale McGee led the Lakers to a 120-94 victory. He recorded a double-double with 18 points and 17 rebounds. Los Angeles covered as a 9-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 214 points, which was under the projected point total of 219.5. The Lakers’ 36.1 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over the Warriors, who had a rate of 20.8.
It’s tough to find a trend for games including the Lakers in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Los Angeles heads into the game with records of 38-12 straight up (SU) and 26-23-1 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Warriors games, with 28 unders compared to 24 overs. Moreover, Golden State is 12-40 SU and 24-27-1 ATS.
Golden State might struggle to find the bottom of the net as they go head-to-head against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Los Angeles currently ranks fourth in defensive efficiency while the Warriors rank 29th in offensive efficiency. Additionally, the Lakers rank fourth in offensive rebounding percentage (24.8 percent), while the Warriors rank 25th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.0 percent).
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors Free Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Lakers average 18.7 points off turnovers per game, which ranks third in the league. The Warriors rank 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4).
- Los Angeles ranks second in points in the paint per game (53.4) while Golden State ranks 29th (42.5).
- The Lakers average 19.0 fast break points per game, which ranks second in the NBA. The Warriors rank 24th in fast break points allowed per game (14.5).
- Los Angeles ranks sixth in assists allowed per game (22.8) while Golden State ranks 27th (25.8).
- Los Angeles averages 7.0 blocks per game, which ranks first in the league. Golden State ranks 20th in blocks allowed per game (5.2).
- The Lakers rank second in rebounds allowed per game (42.0) while the Warriors rank 28th (47.3).
- The Lakers rank third in second chance points per game (14.7) while the Warriors rank 23rd (12.2).
- Los Angeles ranks 23rd in three pointers attempted per game (30.8) while Golden State ranks 25th (30.6).
- Los Angeles ranks fourth in steals per game (8.5) while Golden State ranks 26th in steals allowed per game (8.1).
- In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Los Angeles is 15-0 and Golden State is 5-2.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Warriors are 12-25 and the Lakers are 34-11.
- Golden State is 10-13-1 ATS at home, while Los Angeles is 14-12 ATS on the road.
- The Lakers have 14 overs and 12 unders in 26 road games.
- In 24 home games, the Warriors have 14 unders and 10 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Los Angeles and Golden State have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Warriors are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Lakers are 2-3.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 110.4 points per game (4.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 118.4 points per game (3.8 above their season average).
- The Lakers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.6, down from 7.2 for the season.
