The Dallas Mavericks (31-21) will travel to the Spectrum Center to square off against the Charlotte Hornets (16-35). The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 8, 2020.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Charlotte Hornets Betting Odds
Both teams were beaten in their last game. The Mavericks (3.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Washington Wizards, 119-118, while the Hornets (13-point underdogs) fell to the Houston Rockets, 125-110. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Dallas game finished 10.5 points over the projected point total of 226.5, while the Charlotte game went 12 points over the projected point total of 223.
Dallas did a terrific job of making free throws (18-21; 85.7 percent) while Charlotte held Houston to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.6 (below their season average of 23.5). Miles Bridges played a pivotal role for Charlotte with 20 points and 15 rebounds. Tim Hardaway Jr. led the way for Dallas, contributing 19 points and seven assists.
In their first matchup this year, Devonte’ Graham led the Hornets to a 123-120 victory. He recorded a double-double with 27 points and 13 assists. Charlotte covered as a 12-point underdog and the two teams combined to score 243 points, which was well over the projected point total of 217.5. Charlotte made good use of their 31 trips to the free throw line, converting on 28 of them (90.3 percent). Dallas, on the other hand, was 11-13 (84.6 percent).
Vegas is known to place the total low when the Mavericks are involved, as 60.8 percent of their contests have gone over the O/U total. Dallas holds records of 31-21 straight up (SU) and 30-21 against the spread (ATS).
A little over half of Hornets games have finished over the total. Moreover, Charlotte owns records of 16-35 SU and 23-26-2 ATS.
The offensive glass should be a huge edge for Charlotte in this matchup. The Hornets are among the league’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking seventh in offensive rebounding percentage at 23.8 percent. Meanwhile, Dallas ranks 21st in the NBA at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 77.0 percent. Furthermore, the top-ranked offense of the Mavericks (offensive efficiency of 114.8) will attempt to exploit the 28th-ranked defense of the Hornets (defensive efficiency of 112.2).
Mavericks vs. Hornets Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Mavericks rank second in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while the Hornets rank 14th (4.9).
- Charlotte ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (11.7) while Dallas ranks 29th (16.5).
- The Mavericks average 14.9 second chance points per game, which ranks first in the league. The Hornets rank 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.4).
- Dallas ranks 10th in assists allowed per game (23.7) while Charlotte ranks last (26.9).
- Dallas ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.5) while Charlotte ranks 19th (17.3).
- The Mavericks rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.5) while the Hornets rank 25th (42.7).
- The Mavericks rank 10th in steals allowed per game (7.1) while the Hornets rank 25th (8.1).
- Charlotte ranks 20th in points in the paint per game (47.1) while Dallas ranks 25th (44.6).
- Dallas averages 41.1 three pointers per game, which ranks second in the league. Charlotte ranks 22nd in three pointers allowed per game (34.9).
- In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Charlotte is 4-0 and Dallas is 8-0.
- The Mavericks are 31-19 when they score more than 100 points, while the Hornets are 13-20.
- Charlotte is 9-12-2 ATS at home, while Dallas is 19-5 ATS on the road.
- Of the Mavericks’ 24 road games, they have 15 overs and 9 unders.
- In 23 home games, the Hornets have 13 unders and 10 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- The Mavericks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Hornets are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Dallas has 4 overs and 1 under, while Charlotte has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.0, down from 5.7 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 100.8 points per game (2.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 112.8 points per game (2.0 above their season average).