Denver Nuggets vs. Utah Jazz ATS Prediction 02/05/20

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Don’t expect a fast-paced game when the Denver Nuggets (35-16) travel to Utah to take on the Jazz (32-17). Action starts at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 5, 2020.

Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz Betting Odds

In the Nuggets’ last matchup, they won big over the Portland Trail Blazers, 127-99, despite being 2-point underdogs. The Jazz, meanwhile, were beaten by the Portland Trail Blazers, 124-107, and failed to cover as 8-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Denver game went 14.5 points over the projected point total of 211.5, while the Utah game went 1 point over the projected point total of 230.

Denver played a nearly flawless game. They had a great offensive rebounding percentage of 30.8 (above their season average of 25.2) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.606 (above their season average of 0.520). For those same stats, Portland put up marks of 19.1 and 0.445, respectively. Utah, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (8.4 vs. 10.7). Utah rallied around Donovan Mitchell, who finished with 25 points. Meanwhile, Nikola Jokic had a good outing for Denver, contributing 29 points, 13 rebounds and nine assists.

In their first matchup this season, Jokic led the Nuggets to a 106-100 victory. He recorded a double-double with 28 points and 10 assists. The two teams combined for 206 points, which was under the projected point total of 211.5, and Denver covered as a 2.5-point underdog. The Nuggets’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Jazz. Denver had a rate of 8.7, while Utah posted a mark of 15.8.

Of the Nuggets’ 50 games with betting action, 29 have gone under the O/U total. Denver is 35-16 straight up (SU), but they have difficulty covering the spread (21-23-6 against the spread (ATS)).

Contrary to Denver, a little over half of Jazz games have finished over the projected point total. Moreover, Utah is 32-17 SU and 24-23-2 ATS.

Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams clash. Utah currently ranks 27th in possessions per game (100.5) and Denver is 26th (100.6). Moreover, the Nuggets rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (25.3 percent), while the Jazz rank fourth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.2 percent).

Denver Nuggets vs. Utah Jazz Free Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Nuggets rank 23rd in fast break points per game (11.5) while the Jazz rank 26th (10.5).
  • Denver ranks fourth in assists per game (26.4) while Utah ranks 26th (22.1).
  • The Nuggets rank 14th in points off turnovers per game (16.7) while the Jazz rank 27th (14.4).
  • Denver ranks 18th in blocks per game (4.7) while Utah ranks 26th (4.1).
  • Utah averages 47.6 points in the paint per game, which ranks 17th in the NBA. Denver ranks 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (49.5).
  • The Nuggets rank fifth in second chance points per game (14.6) while the Jazz rank 25th (12.0).
  • The Jazz rank third in three pointers allowed per game (30.9) while the Nuggets rank 10th (32.9).
  • Utah ranks fourth in rebounds allowed per game (43.0) while Denver ranks sixth (43.3).
  • Denver ranks 10th in steals per game (8.1) while Utah ranks 29th (5.9).
  • When allowing under 100 points, Denver and Utah are both 12-1.
  • In games where they score above 100 points, the Nuggets are 33-11 and the Jazz are 31-12.
  • Utah is 12-9-1 ATS at home, while Denver is 11-11-3 ATS on the road.
  • The Nuggets have 13 unders and 12 overs in 25 road games.
  • The Jazz have 12 overs and 10 unders in 22 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Denver and Utah have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Nuggets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Jazz are 1-4.
  • During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 115.8 points per game (5.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.2 points per game (2.8 above their season average).
  • The Jazz have been outscored by an average of 6.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Utah has defeated opponents by an average of 4.1 points.