The Toronto Raptors (36-14) welcome the Indiana Pacers (31-19) to Scotiabank Arena. The Raptors are a 5.5-point favorite and will attempt to lengthen their 11-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 216 points and it can be seen on The Sports Network at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 5, 2020.
Indiana Pacers at Toronto Raptors ATS Odds
In the Raptors’ previous game, they easily covered the 10-point spread against the Chicago Bulls, 129-102. The Pacers, meanwhile, were defeated by the Dallas Mavericks, 112-103, and failed to cover as 5.5-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Toronto game finished 15 points over the projected point total of 216, while the Indiana game finished 2 points over the projected point total of 213.
The Raptors had a ridiculous effective field goal percentage of 0.655 (above their season average of 0.532) and had a free throw rate of 0.226 (above their season average of 0.200). Indiana, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 3.8 (better than their season average of 11.2). Terence Davis fueled Toronto with 31 points. Meanwhile, Domantas Sabonis played well for Indiana, finishing with 26 points, 12 rebounds and nine assists.
In their first matchup this year, T.J. Warren led the Pacers to a 120-115 win. He produced 24 points, eight rebounds and six assists. The two teams combined for 235 points, which was well over the projected point total of 208, and Indiana was unable to cover as an 8-point favorite. Indiana had a better turnover percentage (10.4 vs. 13.3). Toronto, on the other hand, did a great job of making free throws (18-24; 75.0 percent).
Pacers games have a slight tendency to finish over the O/U total (52.0 percent). Indiana holds records of 31-19 straight up (SU) and 26-22-2 against the spread (ATS).
Much like Indiana, a little over half of Raptors games have finished over the total. Further, Toronto is 36-14 SU and 28-21-1 ATS.
Ball protection could play an integral role in this matchup. Indiana commits the fourth-fewest miscues in the league (turnover percentage of 12.1 percent), while the pesky defense of Toronto forces the second-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.5 percent).
Pacers vs. Raptors Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pacers average 5.0 blocks per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. The Raptors rank 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.3).
- Toronto ranks seventh in three pointers attempted per game (36.3) while Indiana ranks 29th (27.4).
- The Raptors rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.8) while the Pacers rank 16th (48.0).
- Toronto ranks 12th in rebounds per game (45.6) while Indiana ranks 26th (42.6).
- Toronto ranks third in fast break points per game (17.8) while Indiana ranks 16th (12.5).
- The Raptors rank second in steals per game (8.7) while the Pacers rank 23rd (7.0).
- The Raptors rank second in points off turnovers per game (20.3) while the Pacers rank 15th (16.6).
- Indiana ranks 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.6) while Toronto ranks 26th (14.2).
- Indiana averages 26.1 assists per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Toronto ranks 24th in assists allowed per game (25.2).
- Toronto is 13-3 when they allow less than 100 points, while Indiana is 9-2.
- The Raptors are 34-9 when they reach 100 points, while the Pacers are 31-11.
- Toronto is 15-10 ATS at home, while Indiana is 14-11 ATS on the road.
- The Pacers have 13 overs and 12 unders in 25 road games.
- The Raptors have 15 overs and 10 unders in 25 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Raptors are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Pacers are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Toronto has 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push, while Indiana has 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 13.2, up from 6.7 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 112.2 points per game (2.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.4 points per game (6.6 above their season average).
