The Golden State Warriors (11-39) will travel to Capital One Arena to square off against the Washington Wizards (17-31). The Warriors opened as 5-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 234.5 points and action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, February 3, 2020.
Golden State Warriors at Washington Wizards ATS Odds
Both teams covered in their last contest. The Wizards (1.5-point underdogs) defeated the Brooklyn Nets 113-107, while the Warriors (2-point underdog) beat the Cleveland Cavaliers 131-112. The Washington game went 22.5 points under the projected point total of 242.5, while the Golden State game finished 19.5 points over the projected point total of 223.5.
Golden State dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a turnover percentage of 10.1 (better than their season average of 12.5) and a free throw rate of 0.189 (matching their season average). Cleveland recorded marks of 12.9 and 0.147, respectively, for those same stats. The Wizards, meanwhile, forced 15 turnovers, while the Nets had a free throw rate of 0.138 (below their season average of 0.196). Bradley Beal played well for Washington, putting up 34 points and six rebounds. Golden State, meanwhile, was led by Draymond Green, who recorded eight points, 16 assists and seven rebounds.
The Warriors dominated this series last year, taking both contests. In the last matchup, Golden State won 126-118. Making free throws was one of Golden State’s largest advantages. They were 19-21 (90.5 percent), while the Wizards were 15-21 (71.4 percent). This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.
Just over half of the Warriors’ games have finished under the O/U total. Golden State comes into the contest with records of 11-39 straight up (SU) and 23-26-1 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Wizards’ 48 games, 28 have finished over the total. Moreover, Washington owns records of 17-31 SU and 25-23 ATS.
The Warriors’ Glenn Robinson III has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 15 points per game. Meanwhile, Beal has averaged 39 points,6.8 assists during that same time frame for the Wizards.
The physical Golden State offense could be getting to the free throw line a lot in this matchup. The Warriors rank sixth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.213, while Washington ranks 29th in FTA rate allowed (0.231).
Golden State Warriors vs. Washington Wizards Betting Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Wizards, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Wizards average 12.2 fast break points per game, which ranks 20th in the NBA. The Warriors rank 24th in fast break points allowed per game (14.6).
- Washington ranks fourth in second chance points per game (14.7) while Golden State ranks 23rd (12.3).
- The Wizards rank 14th in three pointers allowed per game (33.6) while the Warriors rank 25th (35.3).
- Washington ranks 20th in points in the paint per game (47.4) while Golden State ranks last (42.5).
- Washington ranks 21st in rebounds allowed per game (46.1) while Golden State ranks 28th (47.2).
- The Wizards average 18.0 points off turnovers per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Warriors rank 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.7).
- The Wizards rank 15th in steals per game (7.5) while the Warriors rank 24th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
- Washington averages 25.5 assists per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. Golden State ranks 26th in assists allowed per game (25.6).
- When holding opponents under 100 points, Golden State is 5-2 and Washington is 3-0.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Wizards are 15-30 and the Warriors are 11-25.
- Washington is 12-10 ATS at home, while Golden State is 13-13 ATS on the road.
- In 26 road games, the Warriors have 13 overs and 13 unders.
- Of the Wizards’ 22 home games, they have 11 overs, 10 unders and 1 push.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Golden State and Washington have both had 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Wizards are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 2-3.
- The Wizards’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.4, down from 5.0 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 110.6 points per game (4.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 120.8 points per game (6.5 above their season average).
