Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat ATS Prediction 02/03/20

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The Philadelphia 76ers (31-19) will travel to AmericanAirlines Arena to take on the Miami Heat (33-15). The Heat opened as 3.5-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 213 points and it will air on NBATV at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, February 3, 2020.

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat ATS Odds

The last time the Heat played, they comfortably covered the 3.5-point spread against the Orlando Magic, 102-89. The 76ers, meanwhile, were blown out by the Boston Celtics, 116-95, and failed to cover as 2-point underdogs. The Miami game finished 25.5 points under the projected point total of 216.5, while the Philadelphia game went 0.5 points over the projected point total of 210.5.

Miami played a nearly flawless game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.273 (above their season average of 0.237) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.8 (above their season average of 20.9). For those same stats, Orlando was 0.169 and 15.6, respectively. Philadelphia, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.3 (above their season average of 23.1). Miami received a boost from Meyers Leonard, who finished with 18 points and 14 rebounds. Ben Simmons, meanwhile had a good game for Philadelphia, contributing 23 points, nine rebounds and five assists.

The Heat lead the season series two games to one. The two teams combined to put up 233 points in their most recent game, which was well over the projected point total of 213.5. Miami won 117-116 but was unable to cover as a 2-point favorite. Miami had a better turnover percentage (7.0 vs. 8.1). Philadelphia, on the other hand, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (18.6 vs. 17.0). Joel Embiid finished with 35 points and 11 rebounds.

76ers games have a slight tendency to finish over the projected point total (50.0 percent). Philadelphia has a respectable 31-19 straight up (SU) record, but they have a hard time covering the spread (22-25-3 against the spread (ATS)).

Games including the Heat have typically gone over the projected point total (58.3 percent). Moreover, Miami owns records of 33-15 SU and 26-20-2 ATS.

Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams clash. Miami ranks 22nd in possessions per game (101.0) and Philadelphia is 25th (100.7).

Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat Betting Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The 76ers average 8.3 steals per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Heat rank 14th in steals allowed per game (7.8).
  • Philadelphia ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (28.4) while Miami ranks 28th (37.3).
  • The 76ers rank 11th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.4) while the Heat rank 26th (18.2).
  • Philadelphia ranks second in assists allowed per game (22.0) while Miami ranks 17th (24.6).
  • Philadelphia ranks 18th in points in the paint per game (47.6) while Miami ranks 26th (44.9).
  • The 76ers rank ninth in blocks per game (5.5) while the Heat rank 26th (4.3).
  • The 76ers rank third in second chance points allowed per game (11.5) while the Heat rank 14th (12.7).
  • Philadelphia ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (41.6) while Miami ranks second (41.9).
  • Philadelphia ranks ninth in fast break points per game (14.3) while Miami ranks 25th (10.6).
  • In games where they allow under 100 points, Philadelphia is 14-1 and Miami is 7-1.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Heat are 32-10 and the 76ers are 27-8.
  • Miami is 15-8-1 ATS at home, while Philadelphia is 9-16-1 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 15 of the Heat’s 24 home games, while 13 of the 76ers’ 26 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Heat are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the 76ers are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Miami has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Philadelphia has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 113.4 points per game (1.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.2 points per game (0.3 above their season average).
  • The 76ers have been outscored by an average of 3.0 points in their last five games. On the season, Philadelphia has defeated opponents by an average of 3.0 points.