The Detroit Pistons (18-33) will travel to FedExForum to go head-to-head with the Memphis Grizzlies (24-25). The game will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, February 3, 2020.
Detroit Pistons vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds
The Pistons will be looking for a similar result after topping the Denver Nuggets in their last game, 128-123, as 3.5-point underdogs. The Grizzlies, on the other hand, were dismantled by the New Orleans Pelicans, 139-111, and failed to cover as 7.5-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Detroit game finished 28.5 points over the projected point total of 222.5, while the Memphis game went 8 points over the projected point total of 242.
The Pistons knocked down 18 of their 24 free throws (75.0 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.585 (above their season average of 0.534). Memphis, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (9.3 vs. 15.1). Memphis was led by Jonas Valanciunas, who recorded 18 points and eight rebounds. Andre Drummond led the way for Detroit, recording 21 points and 17 rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Jaren Jackson Jr. led the Grizzlies to a 125-112 victory. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 29 points. Memphis covered as a 2-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 237 points, which was over the projected point total of 231.5. Memphis was effective at getting and making free throws. The Grizzlies made 28 of their 31 free throws (90.3 percent), while the Pistons were 23-31 (74.2 percent).
Matchups involving the Pistons have typically finished over the total (62.0 percent). Detroit holds records of 18-33 straight up (SU) and 17-31-2 against the spread (ATS).
A little over half of Grizzlies games have finished over the total. Additionally, Memphis owns records of 24-25 SU and 26-22-1 ATS.
The upper-echelon offense of Memphis (sixth in the NBA with an effective field goal percentage 0.537) will battle against the mid-tier defense of Detroit (25th in effective field goal percentage allowed 0.539). The Grizzlies should have the advantage on that side of the ball.
Detroit Pistons vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Grizzlies rank 11th in steals per game (8.0) while the Pistons rank 20th in steals allowed per game (8.1).
- Memphis averages 56.2 points in the paint per game, which ranks first in the league. Detroit ranks 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.9).
- The Grizzlies rank first in assists per game (27.6) while the Pistons rank 19th in assists allowed per game (24.7).
- Memphis ranks fourth in fast break points per game (17.4) while Detroit ranks 21st (11.9).
- Memphis ranks 16th in rebounds per game (45.2) while Detroit ranks 28th (42.3).
- The Pistons rank second in three pointers allowed per game (30.3) while the Grizzlies rank 21st (34.5).
- The Pistons average 13.4 second chance points per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Grizzlies rank 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.6).
- Memphis ranks 13th in points off turnovers per game (16.9) while Detroit ranks 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.6).
- Memphis ranks seventh in blocks per game (5.6) while Detroit ranks 25th in blocks allowed per game (5.6).
- When allowing below 100 points, Detroit is 4-0 and Memphis is 2-0.
- The Pistons are 17-24 when they reach the century mark, while the Grizzlies are 24-19.
- Memphis is 15-12 ATS at home, while Detroit is 8-14-2 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 13 of the Pistons’ 24 road games, while 14 of the Grizzlies’ 27 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Pistons are 0-5.
- In their last five games, Memphis has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Detroit has 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 116.2 points per game (2.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.4 points per game (3.3 below their season average).
- The Pistons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.6, up from 2.3 for the season.
