The Indiana Pacers (31-18) will be 4-point favorites at home in Bankers Life Fieldhouse when they meet the Dallas Mavericks (30-19). Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, February 3, 2020, and can be seen on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana.
Dallas Mavericks at Indiana Pacers ATS Odds
The Mavericks come in on a high note after comfortably covering the 4.5-point spread against the Atlanta Hawks in their last contest, 123-100. The Pacers, meanwhile, were beaten by the New York Knicks, 92-85, and were unable to cover as 11-point underdogs. The Dallas game finished 13 points under the projected point total of 236, while the Indiana game finished 35.5 points under the projected point total of 212.5.
Dallas dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a solid effective field goal percentage of 0.574 (above their season average of 0.545) and a turnover percentage of 8.2 (better than their season average of 10.8). Atlanta had marks of 0.462 and 9.9, respectively, for those same stats. Indiana, meanwhile, held New York to an effective field goal percentage of 0.457 (below the 0.512 mark opponents have averaged against Indiana this season). Domantas Sabonis played a key role for Indiana with 25 points and eight rebounds. Meanwhile, Jalen Brunson led the way for Dallas, contributing 27 points and eight assists.
This series was highly competitive last year, as the teams split their two games last season. The Mavericks won the last game 110-101. The Mavericks’ 23.8 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over the Pacers, who had a rate of 15.8. This will be the first contest of the year between these two teams.
Oddsmakers are known to place the total low when the Mavericks are involved, as 59.2 percent of their games have finished over the O/U total. Dallas heads into the game with records of 30-19 straight up (SU) and 29-20 against the spread (ATS).
Games involving the Pacers have gone over the total 51.0 percent of the time. Moreover, Indiana owns records of 31-18 SU and 26-21-2 ATS.
Indiana should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Indiana ranks fifth in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.2 percent), while Dallas forces the fewest turnovers (11.4 percent).
Mavericks vs. Pacers Odds Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pacers rank first in steals allowed per game (6.4) while the Mavericks rank eighth (7.0).
- Dallas ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (41.0) while Indiana ranks 29th (27.3).
- The Mavericks rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.5) while the Pacers rank 24th (42.6).
- Indiana ranks 11th in points in the paint per game (48.7) while Dallas ranks 25th (45.2).
- Indiana ranks fifth in assists per game (26.1) while Dallas ranks 16th (24.1).
- The Mavericks rank second in second chance points per game (14.9) while the Pacers rank 27th (11.7).
- The Pacers rank 15th in points off turnovers per game (16.8) while the Mavericks rank 27th (15.1).
- Dallas ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Indiana ranks ninth (4.5).
- Indiana ranks sixth in fast break points allowed per game (12.1) while Dallas ranks 29th (16.3).
- In games where they allow under 100 points, Dallas is 8-0 and Indiana is 9-2.
- In games where they score more than 100 points, the Mavericks are 30-17 and the Pacers are 31-10.
- Indiana is 12-10-2 ATS at home, while Dallas is 18-5 ATS on the road.
- In 23 road games, the Mavericks have 14 overs and 9 unders.
- In 24 home games, the Pacers have 12 overs and 12 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Dallas and Indiana are both 3-2 ATS.
- The Mavericks have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Pacers have 3 overs and 2 unders
- During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 112.4 points per game (4.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 114.0 points per game (3.8 above their season average).
- The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.6, up from 2.8 for the season.
