Phoenix Suns at Brooklyn Nets Betting Prediction 02/03/20

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The Brooklyn Nets (21-27) will be at home in the Barclays Center when they square off with the Phoenix Suns (20-29). The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, February 3, 2020, and will air on YES Network.

Phoenix Suns at Brooklyn Nets Betting Odds

Both teams lost as favorites in their last outing. The Suns (1-point favorites) were defeated by the Milwaukee Bucks, 129-108, while the Nets (1.5-point favorites) fell to the Washington Wizards, 113-107. The Phoenix game finished 13 points over the projected point total of 224, while the Brooklyn game went 22.5 points under the projected point total of 242.5.

Phoenix had a better turnover percentage (8.0 vs. 12.8) while Brooklyn had a better effective field goal percentage (0.500 vs. 0.485). Jarrett Allen played a key role for Brooklyn with 13 points, 15 rebounds and five assists. Deandre Ayton, meanwhile had a good outing for Phoenix, recording 20 points and 14 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Ricky Rubio led the Suns to a 138-112 victory. He recorded a double-double with 22 points and 12 assists. Phoenix covered as a 3-point favorite and the two teams combined for 250 points, which was well over the projected point total of 231. The Suns’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Nets. Phoenix had a rate of 6.1, while Brooklyn posted a mark of 14.7.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Suns games, with 25 overs compared to 23 unders. Phoenix comes into the game with records of 20-29 straight up (SU) and 24-23-1 against the spread (ATS).

A little over half of Nets games have also finished over the projected point total. Further, Brooklyn owns records of 21-27 SU and 21-26-1 ATS.

This has potential to be a mistake-prone game for the offense of Brooklyn. Brooklyn ranks 26th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.4 percent), while the pesky defense of Phoenix forces the third-most turnovers in the NBA (14.6 percent).

Suns vs. Nets ATS Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Suns rank 11th in fast break points per game (14.1) while the Nets rank 12th in fast break points allowed per game (12.8).
  • Phoenix ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (18.4) while Brooklyn ranks 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.8).
  • The Suns rank second in assists per game (27.0) while the Nets rank 17th (23.8).
  • Phoenix ranks 13th in steals per game (7.8) while Brooklyn ranks 26th (6.8).
  • Brooklyn ranks 19th in blocks per game (4.7) while Phoenix ranks 29th (3.9).
  • The Nets rank fifth in points in the paint per game (50.1) while the Suns rank 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (49.8).
  • The Suns rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (31.6) while the Nets rank 18th (34.2).
  • Brooklyn ranks third in rebounds per game (47.8) while Phoenix ranks 20th (43.7).
  • In games where they allow below 100 points, Brooklyn is 4-1 and Phoenix is 6-2.
  • The Suns are 19-24 when they reach 100 points, while the Nets are 21-20.
  • Brooklyn is 13-12 ATS at home, while Phoenix is 14-8 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 13 of the Nets’ 25 home games, while 12 of the Suns’ 22 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Nets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Brooklyn has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Phoenix has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 116.6 points per game (6.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.4 points per game (1.3 above their season average).
  • The Suns have outscored opponents by an average of 0.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Phoenix has lost by an average of 0.9 points.