Oklahoma City Thunder at Phoenix Suns Betting Prediction 01/31/20

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A six-game road winning streak hangs in the balance for the Oklahoma City Thunder (29-20), who will be 1-point favorites when they go head-to-head with the Phoenix Suns (20-27) at Talking Stick Resort Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 222.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Arizona at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, January 31, 2020.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Phoenix Suns ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last outing. The Suns (7-point underdogs) defeated the Dallas Mavericks 133-104, while the Thunder (2.5-point favorite) beat the Sacramento Kings 120-100. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Phoenix game went 8.5 points over the projected point total of 228.5, while the Oklahoma City game went 0.5 points over the projected point total of 219.5.

Oklahoma City played a perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.193 (matching their season average) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.585 (above their season average of 0.533). Sacramento had marks of 0.077 and 0.511, respectively, for those same stats. Phoenix, meanwhile, dominated nearly every stat category in their game. They had an extraordinary effective field goal percentage of 0.663 (above their season average of 0.523) and a turnover percentage of 10.4 (better than their season average of 12.4). Dallas had marks of 0.488 and 13.7, respectively, for those same stats. Phoenix was led by Devin Booker, who put up 32 points, nine assists and six rebounds. Meanwhile, Dennis Schroder had a good game for Oklahoma City, contributing 24 points and nine assists.

In their first matchup this season, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder to a 126-108 victory. He was the game’s leading scorer with 32 points. The two teams combined to put up 234 points, which was over the projected point total of 224.5, and Oklahoma City covered as a 3-point favorite. Oklahoma City’s effective field goal percentage was its largest strength over Phoenix. The Thunder had a rate of 0.621 while the Suns posted a mark of 0.500.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Thunder games, with 26 unders compared to 23 overs. Oklahoma City comes into the contest with records of 29-20 straight up (SU) and 32-16-1 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Oklahoma City, Suns games have gone over the O/U total 53.2 percent of the time. Further, Phoenix is 20-27 SU and 24-22-1 ATS.

A focal point for the Phoenix offense is getting to the free throw line. The Suns rank fifth in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.222), but Oklahoma City is among the best in the NBA at keeping opponents away from the charity stripe (ranking first by yielding a FTA rate of 0.159). Also, the Thunder rank 30th in offensive rebounding percentage (19.3 percent), while the Suns rank fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.3 percent).

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns Odds Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Suns rank 24th in second chance points per game (12.2) while the Thunder rank 29th (10.6).
  • Phoenix ranks second in assists per game (27.3) while Oklahoma City ranks 26th (22.1).
  • The Suns rank fourth in points off turnovers per game (18.5) while the Thunder rank 21st (16.2).
  • Oklahoma City ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Phoenix ranks 18th (7.9).
  • Phoenix averages 48.2 points in the paint per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. Oklahoma City ranks 23rd in points allowed in the paint per game (49.8).
  • The Thunder rank fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.2) while the Suns rank 27th (5.6).
  • The Suns rank 18th in three pointers attempted per game (32.2) while the Thunder rank 28th (29.9).
  • Phoenix ranks 10th in fast break points per game (14.3) while Oklahoma City ranks last (9.3).
  • Phoenix is 6-2 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Oklahoma City is 7-3.
  • When scoring more than 100 points, the Suns are 19-22 and the Thunder are 28-12.
  • Oklahoma City is 19-5 ATS on the road, while Phoenix is 10-14-1 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 14 of the Thunder’s 24 road games, while 15 of the Suns’ 25 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Thunder are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Oklahoma City has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Phoenix has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 118.0 points per game (7.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.2 points per game (0.7 below their season average).
  • The Suns have outscored opponents by an average of 0.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Phoenix has been defeated by an average of 0.4 points.