Portland Trail Blazers at Los Angeles Lakers ATS Prediction 01/31/20

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The Portland Trail Blazers (21-27) will travel to the Staples Center to meet the Los Angeles Lakers (36-10). The Trail Blazers opened as 12.5-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 230 points and it can be seen on ESPN at 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, January 31, 2020.

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Los Angeles Lakers Betting Odds

The Trail Blazers come in on a high note after topping the Houston Rockets in their last game, 125-112, as 5-point underdogs. The Lakers, meanwhile, were topped by the Philadelphia 76ers, 108-91, and were not able to cover as 5-point underdogs. The Portland game went 6 points under the projected point total of 243, while the Los Angeles game went 18.5 points under the projected point total of 217.5.

Portland played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.225 (above their season average of 0.195) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.0 (above their season average of 22.1). For those same stats, Houston was 0.160 and 18.4, respectively. Los Angeles, meanwhile, had a free throw rate of 0.197 (above their season average of 0.195). Anthony Davis had a good outing for Los Angeles with 31 points and seven rebounds. Meanwhile, Portland was lifted by Damian Lillard, who registered 36 points, 11 assists and 10 rebounds. This gave him his zeroth triple-double of the season.

The Lakers have won both contests against the Trail Blazers this year. The two teams combined to score 248 points in their most recent game, which was well over the projected point total of 224. Los Angeles won 128-120, covering as a 5-point favorite. The Lakers’ 8.0 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Trail Blazers, who had a mark of 14.0. LeBron James put up a double-double in the victory with 21 points and 16 assists.

Trail Blazers games have a slight tendency to go over the O/U total (50.0 percent). Portland heads into the contest with records of 21-27 straight up (SU) and 18-28-2 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Portland, Lakers games have finished under the O/U total 52.2 percent of the time. Moreover, Los Angeles is 36-10 SU and 24-21-1 ATS.

The high-powered offense of Los Angeles will clash against the bottom-tier defense of Portland. The Lakers currently rank fourth in offensive efficiency, while the Trail Blazers are 24th in defensive efficiency. The Lakers should have the edge on that side of the ball. Also, the Trail Blazers commit the fifth-fewest errors in the NBA (turnover percentage of 12.3 percent), while the pesky defense of the Lakers causes the third-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 14.7 percent).

Trail Blazers vs. Lakers Betting Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Lakers rank second in fast break points per game (18.0) while the Trail Blazers rank 19th in fast break points allowed per game (13.6).
  • Los Angeles ranks third in steals per game (8.6) while Portland ranks last (5.8).
  • The Lakers rank second in points in the paint per game (53.2) while the Trail Blazers rank 27th (43.8).
  • Los Angeles ranks fifth in second chance points per game (14.5) while Portland ranks last in second chance points allowed per game (15.5).
  • Los Angeles averages 7.1 blocks per game, which ranks first in the league. Portland ranks 19th in blocks allowed per game (5.2).
  • The Lakers rank third in points off turnovers per game (19.0) while the Trail Blazers rank 29th (13.5).
  • The Lakers rank seventh in assists per game (25.8) while the Trail Blazers rank last (19.9).
  • Los Angeles ranks 11th in three pointers allowed per game (32.9) while Portland ranks 25th (35.2).
  • Los Angeles ranks third in rebounds allowed per game (42.4) while Portland ranks 29th (47.8).
  • When holding opponents below 100 points, Portland is 4-0 and Los Angeles is 15-0.
  • The Lakers are 32-9 when they reach 100 points, while the Trail Blazers are 21-21.
  • Los Angeles is 11-9-1 ATS at home, while Portland is 10-14-1 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 14 of the Trail Blazers’ 25 road games, while 12 of the Lakers’ 21 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Portland and Los Angeles are both 2-3 ATS.
  • The Trail Blazers have 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games, while the Lakers have 3 overs and 2 unders
  • During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 124.8 points per game (11.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 123.4 points per game (8.6 above their season average).
  • The Lakers have been outscored by an average of 3.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Los Angeles has defeated opponents by an average of 7.3 points.