It will be a contest between two sensational offenses when the Houston Rockets (29-18) challenge the Dallas Mavericks (29-18) at Toyota Center. Action gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, January 31, 2020, and can be seen on ESPN.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets ATS Odds
Both teams lost as favorites in their last matchup. The Mavericks (7-point favorites) were defeated by the Phoenix Suns, 133-104, while the Rockets (5-point favorites) fell to the Portland Trail Blazers, 125-112. The Dallas game finished 8.5 points over the projected point total of 228.5, while the Houston game went 6 points under the projected point total of 243.
Dallas did a great job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (23-27; 85.2 percent) while Houston forced Portland into a turnover percentage of 15.1 (above their season average of 11.1). Houston’s Russell Westbrook had a good outing, putting up 39 points, 10 rebounds and six assists. Luka Doncic, meanwhile played a pivotal role for Dallas with 21 points and six rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Doncic led the Mavericks to a 137-123 win. He registered a double-double with 41 points and 10 assists. The two teams combined to put up 260 points, which was well over the projected point total of 229, and Dallas covered as a 6-point underdog. Dallas had a better effective field goal percentage (0.564 vs. 0.510). Houston, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (30.6 vs. 23.5).
Of the Mavericks’ 47 games, 28 have finished over the total. Dallas heads into the contest with records of 29-18 straight up (SU) and 27-20 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Dallas, games including the Rockets have a tendency to go under the O/U total (55.3 percent). Moreover, Houston owns records of 29-18 SU and 23-24 ATS.
It might turn into a shootout as two of the league’s premier offenses face off. Houston ranks third with 111.5 points per 100 possessions and Dallas is first (114.6).
Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Mavericks rank second in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while the Rockets rank 13th (5.0).
- Dallas averages 41.2 three pointers per game, which ranks second in the league. Houston ranks 27th in three pointers allowed per game (35.7).
- The Mavericks average 14.8 second chance points per game, which ranks second in the NBA. The Rockets rank 22nd in second chance points allowed per game (13.6).
- Dallas ranks fourth in rebounds per game (47.3) while Houston ranks 22nd in rebounds allowed per game (46.2).
- Dallas ranks 10th in assists allowed per game (23.5) while Houston ranks 25th (25.6).
- The Rockets average 14.4 fast break points per game, which ranks eighth in the league. The Mavericks rank last in fast break points allowed per game (16.1).
- The Rockets rank 12th in steals per game (7.9) while the Mavericks rank 28th (6.2).
- Houston averages 47.6 points in the paint per game, which ranks 16th in the league. Dallas ranks 19th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.9).
- Dallas ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.7) while Houston ranks 24th (18.1).
- Houston is 3-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Dallas is 8-0.
- The Rockets and Mavericks are both 29-16 when they score above 100 points.
- Houston is 11-11 ATS at home, while Dallas is 17-5 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 11 of the Rockets’ 22 home games, while 13 of the Mavericks’ 22 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Rockets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Mavericks are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Houston has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Dallas has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.4, down from 4.0 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 111.6 points per game (4.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.4 points per game (5.4 above their season average).
