The Boston Celtics (31-15) welcome the Golden State Warriors (10-38) to TD Garden. The Warriors will try to end a nine-game road losing streak. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 30, 2020, and will air on TNT.
Golden State Warriors at Boston Celtics Betting Odds
Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Celtics (3-point favorites) defeated the Miami Heat, 109-101, while the Warriors (13.5-point underdogs) fell to the Philadelphia 76ers, 115-104. The Boston game went 11.5 points under the projected point total of 221.5, while the Golden State game finished 4 points over the projected point total of 215.
The Celtics held the Heat to an effective field goal percentage of 0.421 (below their season average of 0.549) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (24.4 vs. 22.9). Golden State, on the other hand, held Philadelphia to an offensive rebounding percentage of 5.6 (below their season average of 23.6). Gordon Hayward had a solid performance for Boston with 29 points and nine rebounds. D’Angelo Russell had a solid performance for Golden State, contributing 28 points, seven assists and five rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Jayson Tatum led the Celtics to a 105-100 victory. He was the game’s leading scorer with 24 points. The two teams combined to score 205 points, which was well under the projected point total of 223, and Boston was unable to cover as a 7-point favorite. The Celtics’ 12.2 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Warriors, who had a rate of 16.4.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Warriors games, with 26 unders compared to 22 overs. Golden State heads into the contest with records of 10-38 straight up (SU) and 22-25-1 against the spread (ATS).
Much like Golden State, just over half of Celtics games have finished under the projected point total. Moreover, Boston owns records of 31-15 SU and 27-18-1 ATS.
The Warriors’ Russell has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 27 points,7.6 assists per game. Meanwhile, Hayward has averaged 19 points,7.2 rebounds,4.6 assists during that same time frame for the Celtics.
The productive offense of Boston will go head-to-head against the mid-tier defense of Golden State. The Celtics rank seventh in offensive efficiency, while the Warriors are 25th in defensive efficiency. The Celtics should have the advantage on that end of the court.
Warriors at Celtics Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Celtics, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Celtics rank 12th in three pointers attempted per game (34.0) while the Warriors rank 26th (30.2).
- Boston ranks second in steals allowed per game (6.8) while Golden State ranks 25th (8.2).
- The Celtics rank 11th in points in the paint per game (48.8) while the Warriors rank last (42.5).
- Boston ranks 10th in rebounds allowed per game (44.3) while Golden State ranks 27th (47.2).
- Boston averages 18.1 points off turnovers per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Golden State ranks 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.9).
- The Celtics rank sixth in assists allowed per game (23.0) while the Warriors rank 27th (25.6).
- The Celtics rank fifth in blocks per game (5.9) while the Warriors rank 21st (4.4).
- Boston averages 13.1 second chance points per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Golden State ranks 24th in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
- Boston averages 15.3 fast break points per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Golden State ranks 26th in fast break points allowed per game (14.8).
- Golden State is 5-2 when they allow less than 100 points, while Boston is 11-2.
- The Celtics are 30-9 when they score above 100 points, while the Warriors are 10-24.
- Golden State is 12-12 ATS on the road, while Boston is 13-10 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 12 of the Celtics’ 23 home games, while 12 of the Warriors’ 24 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Celtics are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 3-2.
- In their last five games, Boston has 4 unders and 1 over, while Golden State has 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Celtics have scored an average of 116.8 points per game (4.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.8 points per game (0.7 below their season average).
- The Warriors’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 9.2, up from 8.6 for the season.
