The Oklahoma City Thunder (28-19) welcome the Dallas Mavericks (28-17) to Chesapeake Energy Arena. The Thunder will attempt to extend their five-game winning streak. The game will air on Fox Sports – Southwest at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, January 27, 2020.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Odds
The Thunder defeated the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last outing, 113-104, despite being 2-point underdogs. The Mavericks, on the other hand, were defeated by the Utah Jazz, 112-107, and were not able to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. The Oklahoma City game finished 8.5 points under the projected point total of 225.5, while the Dallas game went 8 points under the projected point total of 227.
Oklahoma City dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.300 (above their season average of 0.230) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.556 (above their season average of 0.534). Minnesota was 0.133 and 0.511, respectively, for those same stats. Dallas, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (8.1 vs. 11.4). Chris Paul fueled Oklahoma City with 25 points and 10 assists. Dallas received a boost from Luka Doncic, who contributed 25 points, seven assists and six rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder to a 106-101 win. He registered a double-double with 19 points and 10 rebounds. Oklahoma City covered as a 2.5-point underdog and the two teams combined to put up 207 points, which was under the projected point total of 217.5. The Thunder’s 36.0 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Mavericks, who had a mark of 30.9.
Mavericks matchups have a tendency to go over the projected point total (60.0 percent). Dallas heads into the contest with records of 28-17 straight up (SU) and 26-19 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Dallas, a little over half of Thunder games have finished under the total. Further, Oklahoma City owns records of 28-19 SU and 31-15-1 ATS.
The Mavericks’ Tim Hardaway Jr. has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 17 points per game. Meanwhile, Paul has averaged 22 points,5.4 assists,1.2 steals during that same time frame for the Thunder.
Dallas might have a tough time creating turnovers. Oklahoma City ranks ninth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.1 percent), while Dallas forces the first-fewest turnovers (11.6 percent).
Mavericks at Thunder Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Thunder rank 20th in points off turnovers per game (16.5) while the Mavericks rank 25th (15.4).
- Oklahoma City ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (10.4) while Dallas ranks last (16.3).
- The Mavericks rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.4) while the Thunder rank 23rd (43.3).
- Dallas ranks 14th in assists per game (24.1) while Oklahoma City ranks 25th (21.9).
- Dallas ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while Oklahoma City ranks sixth (4.3).
- The Mavericks rank first in second chance points per game (15.0) while the Thunder rank 29th (10.6).
- The Thunder rank 19th in steals per game (7.4) while the Mavericks rank 28th (6.3).
- Oklahoma City ranks 21st in points in the paint per game (46.6) while Dallas ranks 25th (45.3).
- Dallas ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (41.2) while Oklahoma City ranks 27th (29.8).
- In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Dallas is 7-0 and Oklahoma City is 7-3.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Thunder are 27-12 and the Mavericks are 28-15.
- Dallas is 16-5 ATS on the road, while Oklahoma City is 13-10-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 13 of the Thunder’s 24 home games, while 13 of the Mavericks’ 21 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Dallas and Oklahoma City have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Thunder are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Mavericks are 3-2.
- During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 120.8 points per game (10.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.4 points per game (0.3 above their season average).
- The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.4, down from 6.8 for the season.
