The Minnesota Timberwolves (15-31) welcome the Sacramento Kings (16-29) to Target Center. The Timberwolves are 3-point favorites and look to snap their nine-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 225.5 points and it will air on NBC Sports – California at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, January 27, 2020.
Sacramento Kings vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Odds
The Kings beat the Chicago Bulls in their last game, 98-81, despite being 2-point underdogs. The Timberwolves, meanwhile, were beaten by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 113-104, and were not able to cover as 2-point underdogs. The Sacramento game went 38.5 points under the projected point total of 217.5, while the Minnesota game went 8.5 points under the projected point total of 225.5.
Sacramento dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.222 (above their season average of 0.167) and a turnover percentage of 12.6 (better than their season average of 12.9). For those same stats, Chicago put up marks of 0.139 and 18.2, respectively. Minnesota, on the other hand, held Oklahoma City to an offensive rebounding percentage of 8.1 (below their season average of 19.6). Minnesota’s Karl-Anthony Towns led the way, finishing with 37 points, eight rebounds and six assists. Sacramento was lifted by De’Aaron Fox, who had 18 points, seven assists and six rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Gorgui Dieng led the Timberwolves to a 105-104 win. He notched a double-double with 21 points and 15 rebounds. Minnesota covered as a 7-point underdog and the two teams combined to put up 209 points, which was under the projected point total of 220. Minnesota did a great job of getting and making free throws (23-29; 79.3 percent). Sacramento, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (23.9 vs. 21.5).
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Kings games, with 23 unders compared to 22 overs. Sacramento holds records of 16-29 straight up (SU) and 21-24 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Sacramento, just over half of Timberwolves games have finished over the O/U total. Additionally, Minnesota is 15-31 SU and 17-27-2 ATS.
Contrasting styles will be on display in this showdown. Minnesota prefers to play fast (second in possessions per game), while Sacramento is slower-paced (24th in possessions per game).
Sacramento Kings vs. Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Sacramento ranks sixth in rebounds allowed per game (43.6) while Minnesota ranks 28th (47.9).
- The Timberwolves rank fifth in steals per game (8.5) while the Kings rank 20th in steals allowed per game (8.0).
- Minnesota averages 39.4 three pointers per game, which ranks third in the league. Sacramento ranks 17th in three pointers allowed per game (33.9).
- Sacramento ranks 19th in fast break points per game (12.0) while Minnesota ranks 26th (10.1).
- The Timberwolves rank fourth in blocks per game (6.0) while the Kings rank 24th (4.3).
- The Kings average 16.9 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. The Timberwolves rank 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.5).
- Sacramento ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (11.6) while Minnesota ranks 21st (13.7).
- In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Sacramento is 8-2 and Minnesota is 2-1.
- When reaching 100 points, the Kings are 14-22 and the Timberwolves are 14-24.
- Sacramento is 14-10 ATS on the road, while Minnesota is 5-17-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 12 of the Timberwolves’ 23 home games, while 12 of the Kings’ 24 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Kings are 1-4 ATS over their last five games, while the Timberwolves are 0-5.
- In their last five games, Sacramento has 4 overs and 1 under, while Minnesota has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.0, up from 3.2 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 110.0 points per game (1.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 118.0 points per game (3.1 above their season average).
