The Denver Nuggets (26-12) will be 1-point favorites at home in the Pepsi Center when they clash with the Los Angeles Clippers (27-12). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 221 points and it will air on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 12, 2020.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Denver Nuggets Betting Odds
Neither team was able to cover in their last game. The Clippers (14.5-point favorites) beat the Golden State Warriors, 109-100, while the Nuggets (4.5-point favorites) fell to the Cleveland Cavaliers, 111-103. The Los Angeles game went 8 points under the projected point total of 217, while the Denver game finished 9.5 points under the projected point total of 223.5.
The Clippers held the Warriors to an effective field goal percentage of 0.427 (below their season average of 0.485). The Warriors had a free throw rate of 0.188 (below their season average of 0.218). Denver, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 4.6 (better than their season average of 11.5). Nikola Jokic played well for Denver with 19 points, 12 rebounds and five assists. Los Angeles rallied around Kawhi Leonard, who put up 36 points, nine rebounds and five assists.
The Nuggets took this series last year, winning three out of four games. In the last contest, Denver won 123-96. Denver had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (27.9 vs. 13.7). Los Angeles, meanwhile, did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (33-37; 89.2 percent). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Just over half of the Clippers’ games have finished under the O/U total. Los Angeles holds records of 27-12 straight up (SU) and 20-18-1 against the spread (ATS).
Games including the Nuggets have typically finished under the total (56.8 percent). Denver has a solid 26-12 SU record, but they are just 14-18-5 ATS.
The offensive glass should be a solid advantage for Denver in this contest. The Nuggets rank third in offensive rebounding percentage (24.7 percent), while Los Angeles ranks 16th in defensive rebounding percentage (77.0 percent).
Clippers at Nuggets Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Clippers rank first in second chance points per game (15.1) while the Nuggets rank seventh (14.1).
- Denver ranks seventh in steals allowed per game (7.0) while Los Angeles ranks 28th (8.4).
- The Clippers rank seventh in points in the paint per game (49.3) while the Nuggets rank 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (49.3).
- Los Angeles ranks third in rebounds per game (48.1) while Denver ranks 17th (44.4).
- Los Angeles ranks 18th in three pointers attempted per game (32.6) while Denver ranks 26th (30.0).
- The Nuggets rank fifth in fast break points allowed per game (12.2) while the Clippers rank 25th (15.2).
- The Nuggets rank fourth in assists per game (26.2) while the Clippers rank 18th (23.4).
- Denver ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.3) while Los Angeles ranks 18th (17.5).
- Denver is 10-1 when they allow under 100 points, while Los Angeles is 11-0.
- When reaching the century mark, the Nuggets are 24-8 and the Clippers are 25-8.
- Denver is 6-10-3 ATS at home, while Los Angeles is 9-9 ATS on the road.
- Of the Clippers’ 18 road games, they have 10 unders and 8 overs.
- Of the Nuggets’ 19 home games, they have 12 unders and 7 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- The Nuggets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Clippers are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Denver has 4 overs and 1 under, while Los Angeles has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Nuggets have been outscored by an average of 1.0 point in their last five games. On the season, Denver has defeated opponents by an average of 3.6 points.
- During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 117.8 points per game (2.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 114.2 points per game (4.7 above their season average).
