Utah Jazz vs. New Orleans Pelicans Betting Prediction 01/06/20

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The Utah Jazz (23-12) and the New Orleans Pelicans (12-24) face off at Smoothie King Center. The Jazz are a 2-point favorite and look to extend their five-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 223 points and action begins at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, January 6, 2020.

Utah Jazz at New Orleans Pelicans Betting Odds

The Jazz will be hoping for a similar outcome after easily covering the 3.5-point spread against the Orlando Magic in their last game, 109-96. The Pelicans, on the other hand, beat the Sacramento Kings,117-115, but were unable to cover as 2.5-point favorites. The Utah game went 1 point under the projected point total of 206, while the New Orleans game finished 4 points over the projected point total of 228.

Utah dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 27.5 (above their season average of 19.7) and a turnover percentage of 7.5 (better than their season average of 14.1). Orlando was 19.6 and 10.0, respectively, for those same stats. The Pelicans, meanwhile, forced 20 turnovers and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.529 vs. 0.518). New Orleans’ Lonzo Ball led the way, putting up 24 points, 10 assists and six rebounds. Utah, meanwhile, received a boost from Donovan Mitchell, who contributed 32 points and six assists.

In their first matchup this season, Mitchell led the Jazz to a 128-120 win. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 37 points. Utah covered as a 6-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 248 points, which was well over the projected point total of 226.5. Utah was effective at getting to and converting from the charity stripe. The Jazz made 29 of their 33 free throws (87.9 percent), while the Pelicans were 19-20 (95.0 percent).

Just over half of the Jazz’s games have finished under the projected point total. Utah comes into the contest with records of 23-12 straight up (SU) and 16-17-2 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas is extremely accurate when predicting totals of Pelicans games, with an even split between overs and unders. Further, New Orleans owns records of 12-24 SU and 13-20-3 ATS.

The Jazz’s Joe Ingles has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 17 points,5.8 assists per game. Meanwhile, Derrick Favors has averaged 14 rebounds,11.4 points,3.4 assists,1.6 blocks during that same time frame for the Pelicans.

This contest should be a showdown of conflicting paces. New Orleans likes to play up-tempo (fifth in possessions per game), while Utah likes to grind-it-out (25th in possessions per game).

Utah Jazz vs. New Orleans Pelicans Betting Pick

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Pelicans rank 18th in steals per game (7.6) while the Jazz rank 28th (5.9).
  • New Orleans ranks third in fast break points per game (16.5) while Utah ranks 26th (10.5).
  • The Pelicans rank 14th in second chance points per game (13.1) while the Jazz rank last (10.7).
  • New Orleans ranks fifth in three pointers attempted per game (38.9) while Utah ranks 20th (32.0).
  • New Orleans ranks 16th in points off turnovers per game (17.1) while Utah ranks 27th (14.6).
  • The Jazz rank first in assists allowed per game (20.4) while the Pelicans rank 20th (24.7).
  • The Pelicans rank 15th in blocks per game (4.9) while the Jazz rank 26th (4.1).
  • Utah averages 45.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. New Orleans ranks 22nd in rebounds allowed per game (46.4).
  • Utah ranks 10th in points allowed in the paint per game (45.8) while New Orleans ranks 26th (51.0).
  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Utah is 9-1 and New Orleans is 3-0.
  • The Pelicans are 12-21 when they score more than 100 points, while the Jazz are 22-7.
  • Utah is 9-9-1 ATS on the road, while New Orleans is 7-10 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 9 of the Pelicans’ 17 home games, while 12 of the Jazz’s 19 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Jazz are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Pelicans are 3-1-1.
  • In their last five games, Utah has 3 unders and 2 overs, while New Orleans has 4 overs and 1 under.
  • During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 111.2 points per game (3.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 99.4 points per game (5.9 below their season average).
  • The Pelicans have outscored opponents by an average of 8.2 points in their last five games. On the season, New Orleans has lost by an average of 4.2 points.