Brooklyn Nets at Dallas Mavericks Free Prediction 01/02/20

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The Dallas Mavericks (21-12) will be at home in the American Airlines Center when they square off against the Brooklyn Nets (16-16). Action gets underway at 8:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 2, 2020, and can be seen on YES Network.

Brooklyn Nets at Dallas Mavericks Betting Odds

Both teams lost as favorites in their last matchup. The Mavericks (2.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 106-101, while the Nets (4.5-point favorites) fell to the Minnesota Timberwolves, 122-115. The Dallas game went 10.5 points under the projected point total of 217.5, while the Brooklyn game finished 21 points over the projected point total of 216.

Brooklyn did a terrific job of getting and making free throws (20-27; 74.1 percent) while Dallas had a better turnover percentage (8.7 vs. 9.6). Luka Doncic had a solid performance for Dallas, contributing 35 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists. Meanwhile, Spencer Dinwiddie played a key role for Brooklyn with 36 points, eight assists and five rebounds.

This was a highly contested series last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. In the last game, the Nets won 127-88. Brooklyn made 17 of its 41 three pointers (41.5 percent). Dallas, on the other hand, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (10.0 vs. 8.8). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Nets games have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Brooklyn heads into the contest with records of 16-16 straight up (SU) and 16-15-1 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas is known to place the total low when the Mavericks are involved, as 20 of their 32 games have ended over the total. Moreover, Dallas owns records of 21-12 SU and 19-14 ATS.

The Nets’ Dinwiddie has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 31 points,6.4 assists per game. Meanwhile, Dwight Powell has averaged 11 points,8.0 rebounds,1.2 steals during that same time frame for the Mavericks.

This battle pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defensesDallas ranks fifth in effective field goal percentage (0.541), while Brooklyn is third in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.496).

Brooklyn Nets at Dallas Mavericks Odds Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Nets rank second in assists allowed per game (21.3) while the Mavericks rank seventh (22.9).
  • Dallas ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while Brooklyn ranks 25th (5.7).
  • The Nets rank sixth in fast break points allowed per game (12.1) while the Mavericks rank 27th (16.1).
  • Dallas averages 41.5 three pointers per game, which ranks second in the league. Brooklyn ranks 21st in three pointers allowed per game (34.6).
  • Dallas ranks fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.0) while Brooklyn ranks 19th (17.8).
  • The Nets rank fourth in points in the paint per game (51.1) while the Mavericks rank 26th (44.1).
  • The Mavericks average 14.7 second chance points per game, which ranks third in the league. The Nets rank 19th in second chance points allowed per game (13.5).
  • Brooklyn ranks 26th in steals per game (6.7) while Dallas ranks 27th (6.6).
  • Dallas averages 48.1 rebounds per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Brooklyn ranks 25th in rebounds allowed per game (47.1).
  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Dallas is 5-0 and Brooklyn is 3-1.
  • When scoring over 100 points, the Nets are 16-12 and the Mavericks are 21-10.
  • Brooklyn is 7-9-1 ATS on the road, while Dallas is 6-10 ATS at home.
  • The Nets have 8 overs, 8 unders and 1 push in 17 road games.
  • Of the Mavericks’ 16 home games, they have 9 overs and 7 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Mavericks are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Nets are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Dallas has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Brooklyn has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 109.2 points per game (7.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.6 points per game (0.2 below their season average).
  • The Nets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.4, up from 0.8 for the season.