The Utah Jazz (20-12) will be 9-point favorites at home in Vivint Smart Home Arena when they challenge the Detroit Pistons (12-21). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 218 points and it is scheduled to start at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, December 30, 2019.
Detroit Pistons vs. Utah Jazz Betting Odds
In the Jazz’s previous game, they beat the Los Angeles Clippers, 120-107, as 7-point underdogs. The Pistons, on the other hand, were dismantled by the San Antonio Spurs, 136-109, and failed to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Utah game finished 5.5 points over the projected point total of 221.5, while the Detroit game went 24 points over the projected point total of 221.
Utah’s 0.622 effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Los Angeles, who had a rate of 0.432. The Jazz’s mark was above their season average of 0.535, while the Clippers’ was below their season average of 0.528. Detroit, meanwhile, had a better free throw rate (0.189 vs. 0.129). Utah received a boost from Donovan Mitchell, who contributed 30 points, nine assists and seven rebounds. Andre Drummond, meanwhile was a key piece for Detroit with 21 points and 18 rebounds.
The Jazz dominated this series last year, taking both games. In the last contest, Utah won 100-94. Utah won the rebounding battle. The Jazz had 11 offensive rebounds and 55 total rebounds, while the Pistons had five and 38, respectively. This is the first time these teams will clash this year.
Of the Pistons’ 33 games, 19 have gone over the projected point total. Detroit comes into the game with records of 12-21 straight up (SU) and 12-19-2 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas is exceedingly precise when setting the O/U total of Jazz games, with an even split between overs and unders. Utah has a solid 20-12 SU record, but they struggle covering the spread (13-17-2 ATS).
Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams face off. Utah ranks 24th in possessions per game (101.0) and Detroit is 25th (101.0).
Detroit Pistons vs. Utah Jazz Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pistons rank third in three pointers allowed per game (31.2) while the Jazz rank sixth (32.1).
- Utah ranks first in assists allowed per game (20.6) while Detroit ranks 22nd (25.0).
- The Pistons rank 18th in blocks per game (4.8) while the Jazz rank 26th (4.0).
- Detroit ranks 22nd in steals per game (7.2) while Utah ranks 29th (6.0).
- Utah ranks 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.8) while Detroit ranks 26th (18.8).
- The Pistons rank 10th in second chance points per game (13.8) while the Jazz rank 29th (10.6).
- The Pistons rank 20th in fast break points per game (12.2) while the Jazz rank 27th (10.5).
- Utah ranks 21st in points in the paint per game (46.0) while Detroit ranks 24th in points allowed in the paint per game (50.5).
- Utah ranks 14th in rebounds per game (45.6) while Detroit ranks 28th (42.2).
- Utah is 6-1 when they allow below 100 points, while Detroit is 4-0.
- When scoring above 100 points, the Jazz are 19-7 and the Pistons are 11-16.
- Detroit is 4-9-2 ATS on the road, while Utah is 6-8-1 ATS at home.
- Of the Pistons’ 15 road games, they have 8 unders and 7 overs.
- The Jazz have 9 overs and 6 unders in 15 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Jazz are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Pistons are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Utah has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Detroit has 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 114.0 points per game (5.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.4 points per game (1.8 above their season average).
- The Pistons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 9.2, up from 2.1 for the season.
