In the final week of the 2019 regular season, the Pittsburgh Steelers (+1) are set to take on their AFC North counterpart Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium. CBS will televise the action and this key late afternoon matchup is scheduled to kick off at 4:25 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
In this Sunday AFC matchup, Baltimore is projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 1 point. The Steelers are also receiving -105 moneyline odds while the Ravens are -115. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 39.5 points. Based on how things are shaking out, there should be some solid live betting opportunities for this matchup.
Sharp bettors have been hammering the under. This game’s O/U was placed initially at 41.
Each of these teams has rewarded gamblers this season as the Steelers have gained 1.1 units and the Ravens are up 8.8 units.
The Steelers are 8-7 straight up (SU), including 3-2 SU against AFC North opponents. The Ravens are 13-2 SU overall and 4-1 SU versus divisional foes.
Baltimore enters this matchup on a two-game losing streak while Pittsburgh has come out on top in its last 11 in a row. The Steelers look to bounce back after a 16-10 defeat to the Jets in Week 16. the Steelers completed 25-of-37 passes for 213 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Mason Rudolph went 14-for-20 for 129 yards and one touchdown while Devlin Hodges completed 11-of-17 for 84 yards and two interceptions. Benny Snell Jr. (only 14 rushing yards on seven attempts) led the ground attack while Diontae Johnson (eight receptions, 81 yards, one TD) and James Washington (five catches, 41 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.
Baltimore just earned a 31-15 win over Cleveland last week. Lamar Jackson completed 20-of-31 passes for 238 yards and three touchdowns. Jackson (103 yards on 17 rush attempts) and Gus Edwards (66 yards on 12 carries) handled the running game as Mark Andrews (six receptions, 93 yards, two TDs) and Justice Hill (three catches, 32 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Pittsburgh has run the ball on 43.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Baltimore has an overall rush percentage of 56.8 percent. The Steelers have rushed for 90.4 yards per game (including 96.8 per game against North opponents) and have six scores on the ground this year. The Ravens are logging 204.9 rushing yards per game (191.8 in conference) and have 20 total rush TDs.
The Steelers offense has tallied 207.9 yards per contest through the air overall (219.8 per game versus conference opposition) and has 18 passing scores so far. The Ravens have put up 216.9 pass yards per outing (225 in the AFC) and have 37 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Pittsburgh has let opponents rush for an average of 102 yards and pass for 223.9 yards per game. The Baltimore defense has allowed 232.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 93.0 yards per game on the ground. The Steelers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.85 to opponents, while the Ravens have given up a 5.35 ANY/A.
Offensively, Hodges has amassed 766 passing yards this season, and has completed 70 percent of his 97 attempts with four passing scores and four interceptions. He has a 5.72 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at -0.11 over the past two outings.
Diontae Johnson, James Washington and James Conner have combined to account for 350 total yards and two touchdowns over the last couple of outings.
Lamar Jackson has completed 250-of-378 passes for 2,915 yards, 31 TDs and six INTs for Baltimore. His ANY/A sits at 7.90 for the season and 11.09 over his past two outings.
Similar to the Steelers, expect a balanced attack offensively from Baltimore this Sunday. Lamar Jackson, Mark Ingram II and Mark Andrews have combined to account for 511 yards from scrimmage and six touchdowns over the last couple of outings.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens Free NFL Tip
SU Winner: Steelers, ATS Winner: Steelers, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The Over/Under for Pittsburgh’s previous game was set at 36.5. The under cashed in the team’s 16-10 defeat to the Jets.
- Pittsburgh has rushed for 3.6 yards per attempt over its last three games and 3.2 over its last two.
- Baltimore has averaged 5.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 6.2 over its last two.
- Baltimore has lost six fumbles this season while Pittsburgh has lost nine.
- Over its last three matches, Pittsburgh is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- The Over/Under for Baltimore’s last match was set at 47.5. The under cashed in the team’s 31-15 victory over Cleveland.
- In its last three matchups, Baltimore is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- Each team has produced eight pass plays of 40 yards or more. The Steelers have have made 17 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Ravens have created 19 such plays.
- The Pittsburgh defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Baltimore has given up nine such plays.
- The Pittsburgh offense has created eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Baltimore has created 21 such runs.
- The Steelers defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Ravens have given up seven such runs.
- The Pittsburgh defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 51 times this season. Baltimore has registered just 34 sacks.
