Charlotte Hornets vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Prediction 12/29/19

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The Charlotte Hornets (13-21) will travel to FedExForum to meet the Memphis Grizzlies (12-21). The Grizzlies opened as 3-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 217.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 29, 2019.

Charlotte Hornets at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds

Both teams did not cover as underdogs in their last contest. The Hornets (1-point underdogs) were defeated by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 104-102, while the Grizzlies (6-point underdogs) fell to the Denver Nuggets, 119-110. The Charlotte game went 0.5 points under the projected point total of 206.5, while the Memphis game finished 4.5 points over the projected point total of 224.5.

Charlotte had an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.4 (above their season average of 23.7) while Memphis had a better offensive rebounding percentage (25.0 vs. 22.7). Jonas Valanciunas had a solid game for Memphis with 14 points and 10 rebounds. Meanwhile, Devonte’ Graham had a good outing for Charlotte, contributing 15 points, 13 assists and nine rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Ja Morant led the Grizzlies to a 119-117 win. He recorded a double-double with 23 points and 11 assists. The two teams combined to score 236 points, which was over the projected point total of 222, and Memphis covered as a 3-point underdog. The Grizzlies’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Hornets. Memphis had a rate of 28.9, while Charlotte posted a mark of 17.1.

Hornets games have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Charlotte comes into the game with records of 13-21 straight up (SU) and 17-16-1 against the spread (ATS).

Games including the Grizzlies also have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Further, Memphis is 12-21 SU and 15-17 ATS.

The Hornets’ Terry Rozier has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 18 points,3.6 assists,1.6 steals per game. Meanwhile, Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 19 points,2.0 blocks,1.2 steals during that same time frame for the Grizzlies.

Getting to the line might be scarce for Memphis in this showdown. The Grizzlies currently rank 27th in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.169, while Charlotte ranks third in FTA rate allowed (0.166).

Hornets vs. Grizzlies ATS Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Hornets, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Hornets average 35.1 three pointers per game, which ranks eighth in the league. The Grizzlies rank 16th in three pointers allowed per game (33.9).
  • Memphis averages 27.1 assists per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Charlotte ranks last in assists allowed per game (26.9).
  • The Hornets average 17.4 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. The Grizzlies rank 29th in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.0).
  • Charlotte averages 13.2 second chance points per game, which ranks 14th in the league. Memphis ranks 28th in second chance points allowed per game (14.5).
  • Memphis ranks 14th in steals per game (7.9) while Charlotte ranks 25th (6.8).
  • The Grizzlies average 54.1 points in the paint per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Hornets rank 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (50.6).
  • The Hornets rank 13th in blocks allowed per game (4.8) while the Grizzlies rank 26th (5.7).
  • Memphis ranks 18th in rebounds per game (45.0) while Charlotte ranks 25th (42.8).
  • Charlotte ranks fourth in fast break points allowed per game (11.9) while Memphis ranks 23rd (14.5).
  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Memphis is 1-0 and Charlotte is 3-0.
  • The Grizzlies are 12-16 when they reach 100 points, while the Hornets are 11-12.
  • Memphis is 8-10 ATS at home, while Charlotte is 9-8 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 10 of the Hornets’ 17 road games, while 11 of the Grizzlies’ 18 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Charlotte and Memphis have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Grizzlies are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Hornets are 2-2-1.
  • The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.8, up from 5.7 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 102.0 points per game (2.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 107.8 points per game (2.8 below their season average).