Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers Betting Prediction 12/29/19

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The Dallas Mavericks (21-10) will travel to the Staples Center to challenge the Los Angeles Lakers (25-7). Action gets underway at 9:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 29, 2019.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Lakers Betting Odds

Both teams covered in their last contest. The Lakers (2-point underdogs) defeated the Portland Trail Blazers 128-120, while the Mavericks (7.5-point underdog) beat the Golden State Warriors 141-121. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Los Angeles game finished 26.5 points over the projected point total of 221.5, while the Dallas game finished 36 points over the projected point total of 226.

Dallas played a flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.228 (above their season average of 0.213) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.652 (above their season average of 0.544). For those same stats, Golden State was 0.141 and 0.587, respectively. Meanwhile, Los Angeles dominated nearly every facet of their game. They had a ridiculously low turnover percentage of 8.0 (better than their season average of 13.2) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.8 (above their season average of 24.5). Portland recorded marks of 14.0 and 21.4, respectively, for those same stats. Los Angeles was led by LeBron James, who recorded 21 points, 16 assists and seven rebounds. Luka Doncic led the way for Dallas with 31 points, 15 assists and 12 rebounds to register his eighth triple-double this year.

The Mavericks evened the season series at one with a 114-100 win in their most recent contest. In the loss, Anthony Davis recorded a double-double with 27 points and 10 rebounds. Dallas’ rebounding was their largest strength. The Mavericks had 16 offensive rebounds and 51 total rebounds, while the Lakers had nine and 45, respectively. Dallas covered as a 6-point underdog and the two teams combined to score 214 points, which was under the projected point total of 222.5.

Of the Mavericks’ 30 games with betting action, 19 have finished over the total. Dallas heads into the contest with records of 21-10 straight up (SU) and 18-12 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Dallas, Lakers games have a tendency to go under the O/U total (58.1 percent). Further, Los Angeles is 25-7 SU and 16-15 ATS.

Points at the line might be few and far between for Los Angeles in this showdown. The Lakers currently rank 22nd in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.188, while Dallas ranks sixth in FTA rate allowed (0.179).

Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers Odds Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Lakers rank third in second chance points per game (14.9) while the Mavericks rank ninth in second chance points allowed per game (12.5).
  • Los Angeles ranks third in fast break points per game (17.3) while Dallas ranks 29th in fast break points allowed per game (16.3).
  • The Lakers rank first in blocks per game (7.2) while the Mavericks rank 21st (4.6).
  • Dallas ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (41.1) while Los Angeles ranks 22nd (31.0).
  • Dallas ranks third in rebounds per game (48.1) while Los Angeles ranks 17th (45.3).
  • The Lakers rank fourth in steals per game (8.5) while the Mavericks rank 27th (6.5).
  • The Lakers rank ninth in points off turnovers per game (18.0) while the Mavericks rank 25th (15.5).
  • Los Angeles ranks second in points in the paint per game (53.1) while Dallas ranks 25th (44.8).
  • Dallas is 5-0 when they allow under 100 points, while Los Angeles is 10-0.
  • The Lakers are 21-7 when they reach the century mark, while the Mavericks are 21-9.
  • Dallas is 12-2 ATS on the road, while Los Angeles is 8-6 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 8 of the Lakers’ 14 home games, while 10 of the Mavericks’ 14 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Mavericks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Lakers are 0-5.
  • In their last five games, Dallas has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Los Angeles has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 114.0 points per game (3.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 107.2 points per game (1.7 below their season average).
  • The Lakers have been outscored by an average of 6.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Los Angeles has defeated opponents by an average of 7.0 points.