The Detroit Pistons (12-20), 4.5-point underdogs, will travel to the AT&T Center to clash with the San Antonio Spurs (12-18). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 222.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Detroit at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 28, 2019.
Detroit Pistons vs. San Antonio Spurs Betting Odds
Both teams covered in their last game. The Pistons (6.5-point favorites) defeated the Washington Wizards, 132-102, while the Spurs (7.5-point underdogs) fell to the Dallas Mavericks, 102-98. The Detroit game finished 5.5 points over the projected point total of 228.5, while the San Antonio game finished 26 points under the projected point total of 226.
The Pistons had an absurd effective field goal percentage of 0.645 (above their season average of 0.539) and had a free throw rate of 0.244 (above their season average of 0.195). San Antonio, meanwhile, had a better free throw rate (0.120 vs. 0.111). San Antonio’s Rudy Gay had a good game, putting up 18 points and eight rebounds. Detroit received a boost from Blake Griffin, who had 14 points and 11 rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Christian Wood led the Pistons to a 132-98 win. He recorded a double-double with 28 points and 10 rebounds. The two teams combined to score 230 points, which was over the projected point total of 217, and Detroit covered as a 3-point favorite. The Pistons’ 31.4 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over the Spurs, who had a mark of 15.2.
Games involving the Pistons tend to finish over the projected point total (56.3 percent). Detroit comes into the contest with records of 12-20 straight up (SU) and 12-18-2 against the spread (ATS).
Spurs games also have typically finished over the O/U total (56.7 percent). Further, San Antonio owns records of 12-18 SU and 9-19-2 ATS.
There’s a decent chance that Detroit struggles to create turnovers. San Antonio ranks seventh in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.9 percent), while Detroit forces the sixth-fewest turnovers (13.3 percent).
Detroit Pistons vs. San Antonio Spurs Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pistons average 48.1 points in the paint per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Spurs rank 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.2).
- San Antonio ranks fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.1) while Detroit ranks 25th (18.9).
- The Pistons rank third in three pointers allowed per game (31.1) while the Spurs rank 20th (34.3).
- Detroit ranks 10th in assists per game (25.1) while San Antonio ranks 24th in assists allowed per game (25.3).
- San Antonio ranks seventh in fast break points per game (14.8) while Detroit ranks 17th in fast break points allowed per game (13.2).
- The Pistons rank ninth in second chance points per game (13.8) while the Spurs rank 28th (11.4).
- The Spurs rank seventh in blocks per game (5.9) while the Pistons rank 19th in blocks allowed per game (5.3).
- Detroit ranks 23rd in steals per game (7.1) while San Antonio ranks 25th (6.9).
- San Antonio ranks ninth in rebounds per game (46.1) while Detroit ranks 28th (42.3).
- In games where they allow less than 100 points, Detroit is 4-0 and San Antonio is 1-0.
- In games where they reach the century mark, the Pistons are 11-15 and the Spurs are 12-14.
- San Antonio is 4-12 ATS at home, while Detroit is 4-8-2 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 8 of the Pistons’ 14 road games, while 9 of the Spurs’ 16 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Detroit and San Antonio have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Spurs are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Pistons are 1-4.
- The Spurs have outscored opponents by an average of 2.4 points in their last five games. On the season, San Antonio has been defeated by an average of 2.7 points.
- During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 108.0 points per game (1.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 114.4 points per game (4.0 above their season average).
