Cal Poly Mustangs at San Diego State Aztecs Betting Prediction 12/28/19

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The undefeated 15th-ranked San Diego State Aztecs (12-0) try to remain perfect when they take on the Cal Poly Mustangs (2-10) at Viejas Arena at Aztec Bowl. The game gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 28, 2019.

Cal Poly Mustangs at San Diego State Aztecs Betting Odds

In their last game, the Aztecs won big over the Utah Runnin’ Utes, 80-52, while the Mustangs were blown out by the Bakersfield Roadrunners, 72-50.

San Diego State played a nearly flawless contest. They had a turnover percentage of 11.6 (better than their season average of 14.0) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 35.3 (above their season average of 34.9). For those same stats, Utah had marks of 23.2 and 21.9, respectively. Cal Poly, meanwhile, had a free throw rate of 0.277 (above their season average of 0.179). Malachi Flynn played a pivotal role for San Diego State with 16 points and eight assists. Cal Poly, meanwhile, was lifted by Tuukka Jaakkola, who put up five points.

San Diego State could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their high-octane offense goes up against one of the nation’s worst defenses. The Aztecs currently rank ninth in offensive efficiency, while Cal Poly ranks 324th in defensive efficiency. Moreover, the Mustangs rank 313th in offensive rebounding percentage (23.0 percent), while the Aztecs rank 42nd in defensive rebounding percentage (76.3 percent).

Cal Poly Mustangs at San Diego State Aztecs ATS Pick

College Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – San Diego State, ATS Winner – San Diego State, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • San Diego State ranks 49th in rebounds per game (39.3) while Cal Poly ranks 248th (29.9).
  • The Aztecs rank 40th in steals allowed per game (5.5) while the Mustangs rank 119th (7.0).
  • San Diego State allows the fourth-fewest blocks per game (1.8) while Cal Poly ranks 49th (2.8).
  • The Aztecs rank 26th in assists per game (16.3) while the Mustangs rank 199th (9.9).
  • San Diego State ranks 133rd in three pointers attempted per game (21.9) while Cal Poly ranks 228th (18.0).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Aztecs have scored an average of 78.6 points per game (1.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 57.4 points per game (1.1 above their season average).
  • The Mustangs’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.4, up from 9.8 for the season.