The New Orleans Saints (+1) are heading northeast to face the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium. This key early afternoon matchup will start at 1:00 p.m. ET and FOX will televise the action.
Betting Preview: New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is the home underdog in this game and is currently being given 1 point. The Saints are also receiving -115 moneyline odds while the Titans are -105. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 51 points, and if one squad gets out in front early on, it will likely create a reasonable betting opportunity in-game.
The game’s O/U has not changed after it was initially set at 51. Having said that, the line opened at 0 so has recently moved up to 1.
The Saints are 8-5 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.1 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 7-6.
The Titans have gained 1.9 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 7-6-1 ATS and the over’s hit in eight of their games.
The Saints have gone 11-3 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Titans are 8-6 SU.
The Saints are coming off a resounding 34-7 win over Indianapolis in Week 15. Drew Brees completed 29-of-30 passes for 307 yards and four touchdowns. Alvin Kamara (66 yards on 14 rush attempts) led the ground attack in the win while Michael Thomas (12 receptions, 128 yards, one TD) and Kamara (five catches, 23 yards) handled the receiving duties.
Tennessee narrowly fell 24-21 to Houston in Week 15. The team’s defensive unit let the Texans eat up the clock by rushing for 140 yards on 35 attempts, along with one rushing TD. DeAndre Hopkins had a good showing in the win for Houston, recording 119 yards on six catches. For Tennessee, Ryan Tannehill completed 22-of-36 passes for 279 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Derrick Henry (86 yards on 21 rush attempts) handled the ground attack in the defeat as A.J. Brown (eight receptions, 114 yards, one TD) and Jonnu Smith (five catches, 60 yards) led the pass-catching corps.
New Orleans has run the ball on 40.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tennessee has an overall rush percentage of 48.7 percent. The Saints have run for 108.6 yards per game and have eight scores via handoffs this year. The Titans are logging 130.6 rushing yards per game and have 17 total rush TDs.
If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then it appears the Titans should have an edge in terms of effectiveness in the ground game, as their backfield has produced 4.8 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 4.0 to opponents. The Saints have recorded 4.4 yards per carry while allowing 4.2 YPC to opponents.
The Saints offensive scheme has averaged 276.1 yards in the air overall and has 30 passing TDs so far. The Titans have recorded 247.3 pass yards per outing and have 24 total pass scores.
New Orleans has let opponents run for an average of 90.8 yards and pass for 259.3 yards per game. The Tennessee defense has allowed 273.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 104.4 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Saints have given up an ANY/A of 5.81 to opposing QBs, while the Titans are yielding an ANY/A of 6.22.
Passing-wise, Brees is up to 2,098 yards on the year, and has completed 76 percent of his 270 attempts with 16 scores through the air and only four interceptions. He has a 7.79 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 11.94 over the last two games.
Ryan Tannehill has completed 150-of-212 passes for 1,881 yards, 14 TDs and five INTs for Tennessee. His ANY/A stands at 7.34 for the season and 10.31 over his last two games.
New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans Free Prediction
SU Winner: Saints, ATS Winner: Saints, O/U: Under
Team Betting Notes
- Tennessee has lost eight fumbles this season while New Orleans has lost two.
- The New Orleans defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 44 times this season. Tennessee has produced just 36 sacks.
- As a team, New Orleans has produced 4.2 yards per carry across its last three games and 3.9 over its last two.
- Tennessee has averaged 5.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.4 over its last two.
- New Orleans has won five of its last six games SU, with a two-point loss to San Francisco on December 8th representing the only defeat over that stretch.
