Two teams that like to air it out, the Dolphins (-1) are gearing up to welcome the Cincinnati Bengals to Miami. Kickoff for this game is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to CBS.
Betting Preview: Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins
Miami is playing the role of underdog and is currently getting 1 point in this Sunday AFC game. The Bengals are also receiving -105 moneyline odds while the Dolphins are -115. It appears that there might be some good in-game betting opportunities in this match, and oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 46.5 points.
The early action has moved toward the over, as the game’s over/under was set initially at 45.5.
The disappointing Bengals are 5-8-1 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 12.3 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 5-8-1.
The Dolphins are up 0.4 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 7-7 ATS and have an even O/U record of 7-7.
The Bengals are 1-13 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Dolphins are 3-11 SU.
Each team enters this contest on a two-game losing streak. The Bengals dropped one to New England 34-13 in a Week 15 thumping where the passing attack the primary culprit as Andy Dalton completed just 17 passes on 31 attempts for 151 yards, one touchdown and four interceptions. Joe Mixon (136 rushing yards on 25 attempts) led the ground attack while Tyler Boyd (three receptions, 26 yards) and Tyler Eifert (three catches, 44 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Miami just fell 36-20 to the Giants last week. Ryan Fitzpatrick completed 23-of-41 passes for 279 yards and two touchdowns. Patrick Laird (46 yards on 12 rush attempts) spearheaded the running game while Albert Wilson (five receptions, 59 yards) and DeVante Parker (four catches, 72 yards, two TDs) led the receiving corps in the loss.
When looking at offensive play-calling, each of these squads sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Cincinnati has run the ball on 37.6 percent of its offensive possessions while Miami has an overall rush percentage of 36.1. The Bengals have produced 91.4 rush yards per game and have six scores on the ground this year. The Dolphins are averaging 71.2 rush yards per game and have eight total rushing TDs.
The Bengals offensive scheme has tallied 243.4 yards per game through the air overall and has 13 passing scores so far. The Dolphins have put up 239.9 pass yards per outing and have 17 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Cincinnati appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 158 yards and pass for 244.5 yards per game. The Miami defense has allowed 266.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 140.9 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Bengals have given up an ANY/A of 7.49 to opposing QBs, while the Dolphins are yielding an ANY/A of 7.8.
Offensively, Dalton has put up 2,646 passing yards this year, and has completed 243-of-406 attempts with 11 passing scores and 12 interceptions. He has a 4.88 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 2.70 over the last two outings.
Ryan Fitzpatrick has completed 231-of-372 passes for 2,545 yards, 15 TDs and 11 INTs for Miami. His ANY/A stands at 5.35 for the season and 5.99 over his last two games.
When these two franchises faced each other a year ago, Cincinnati emerged victorious by a final score of 27-17.
Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins NFL Prediction
SU Winner: Bengals, ATS Winner: Bengals, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- Miami has lost eight fumbles this season while Cincinnati has lost 13.
- The Cincinnati defense has 23 sacks on the year while Miami has 18.
- As a team, Cincinnati has produced 4.4 yards per carry over its past three contests and 5.4 over its last two.
- Miami has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.8 over its past two.
- Over its last three contests, Miami is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Cincinnati’s last game was 42. The over cashed in the team’s 34-13 defeat to New England.
- Over its last three contests, Cincinnati is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Miami’s last match was 46.5. The over cashed in the 36-20 defeat to the Giants.
- Miami has lost five of its last six games SU, with a six-point win over Philadelphia on December 1st accounting for its one victory over that stretch.
