In a battle of two franchises that like to air it out, the Kansas City Chiefs (-5) are set to pay a visit to the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. This key Sunday Night showdown gets going at 8:20 p.m. ET and fans can view the action live on NBC.
Betting Preview: Chicago Bears vs. Kansas City Chiefs
In this Sunday game, Kansas City is getting picked as the favorite and is currently giving up 5 points. In order to take the favorite, moneyline bettors would currently have to put up $200 to net $100 back on the Chiefs (-200). The Bears are getting +170 moneyline odds. If one squad can find paydirt early it’ll create a reasonable live betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 45 points.
The total has yet to move after being initially set at 45. Having said that, the opening line was 4 and square bettors have been siding with the Chiefs.
The Chiefs are 9-5 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.6 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 7-7.
The Bears have lost 3.1 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 4-10 ATS and have an O/U record of 5-9.
The Chiefs have gone 10-4 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Bears are 7-7 SU.
The Chiefs are coming off a resounding 23-3 victory over Denver in Week 15. Patrick Mahomes completed 27-of-34 passes for 340 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Darwin Thompson (38 rushing yards on eight attempts) led the ground attack in the win while Travis Kelce (11 receptions, 142 yards) and Tyreek Hill (five catches, 67 yards, two TDs) handled the receiving duties.
In Week 15, Green Bay took care of this Chicago team by a score of 21-13. The Bears defensive unit allowed the Packers to run for 100 yards on 24 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Davante Adams put up a good outing for Green Bay, accounting for 103 yards on seven catches. For Chicago, Mitchell Trubisky completed 29-of-53 passes for 334 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. David Montgomery (39 yards on 14 rush attempts) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat as Anthony Miller (nine receptions, 118 yards, one TD) and Cohen (seven catches, 57 yards) led the receiving corps.
Each of these teams has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Kansas City’s run the ball on 38.4 percent of its offensive possessions while Chicago has a rush percentage of 40.0. The Chiefs have run for 92.9 yards per game and have 13 scores via handoffs this year. The Bears are averaging 85.6 rushing yards per game and have seven total rush TDs.
It appears that the Chiefs should have an advantage when it comes to applying pressure, as their offensive line has allowed just 26 sacks while their D-line logged 52 sacks. The Bears O-line has given up 33 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs just 50 times.
The Chiefs offensive scheme has averaged 304.6 yards through the air overall and has 27 passing scores so far. The Bears have produced 229.2 pass yards per contest and have 20 total pass TDs.
Kansas City has let opponents run for an average of 131.6 yards and pass for 245.9 yards per game. The Chicago defense has allowed 244.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 96.6 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Chiefs have given up an ANY/A of 5.36 to opposing QBs, while the Bears are yielding an ANY/A of 5.7.
Offensively, Mahomes is up to 3,323 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 66 percent of his 386 attempts with 22 scores through the air and only three interceptions. Mahomes has an 8.78 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.28 over the last two outings.
For the home team, Mitchell Trubisky has managed to complete 259-of-414 passes for 2,530 yards, 14 TDs and nine INTs. Trubisky’s ANY/A sits at 5.05 for the season and 5.56 across his last two games.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Chicago Bears Free Prediction
SU Winner: Bears, ATS Winner: Bears, O/U: Under
Team Betting Notes
- Chicago has lost six fumbles this season while Kansas City has lost 10.
- The Kansas City defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 39 times this season. Chicago has registered just 31 sacks.
- Kansas City has rushed for 3.2 yards per attempt over its past three contests and 3.1 over its last two.
- Chicago has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.0 over its last two.
