Los Angeles Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Prediction 12/22/19

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The Los Angeles Clippers (22-9) will travel to Chesapeake Energy Arena to clash against the Oklahoma City Thunder (14-14). Action begins at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 22, 2019, and can be seen on NBATV.

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last contest. The Thunder (2.5-point favorites) defeated the Phoenix Suns 126-108, while the Clippers (5-point underdog) beat the San Antonio Spurs 134-109. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Oklahoma City game went 9.5 points over the projected point total of 224.5, while the Los Angeles game went 6.5 points over the projected point total of 236.5.

Los Angeles dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a great offensive rebounding percentage of 28.9 (above their season average of 24.2) and a turnover percentage of 9.3 (better than their season average of 13.3). San Antonio was 11.8 and 16.6, respectively, for those same stats. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City’s 0.621 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Phoenix, who had a mark of 0.500. The Thunder’s mark was above their season average of 0.530. Oklahoma City was led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who contributed 32 points. Kawhi Leonard, meanwhile played a key role for Los Angeles with 26 points, nine assists and seven rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Montrezl Harrell led the Clippers to a 90-88 win. He notched a double-double with 28 points and 12 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 178 points, which was well under the projected point total of 221.5, and Los Angeles was unable to cover as an 8-point favorite. The Clippers’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over the Thunder. Los Angeles had a rate of 26.5, while Oklahoma City posted a mark of 20.0.

Games including the Clippers tend to go under the projected point total (56.7 percent). Los Angeles holds records of 22-9 straight up (SU) and 16-13-1 against the spread (ATS).

Just over half of Thunder games have also finished under the total. Further, Oklahoma City is 14-14 SU and 16-11-1 ATS.

The physical Oklahoma City offense might be getting to the foul line a lot in this matchup. The Thunder currently rank third in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.237, while Los Angeles ranks 20th in FTA rate allowed (0.212).

Los Angeles Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Clippers rank 18th in assists per game (23.3) while the Thunder rank 26th (21.8).
  • Los Angeles ranks first in second chance points per game (15.1) while Oklahoma City ranks last (10.0).
  • The Thunder rank second in three pointers allowed per game (30.5) while the Clippers rank 22nd (34.8).
  • Los Angeles ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (19.1) while Oklahoma City ranks 22nd (16.0).
  • Oklahoma City ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while Los Angeles ranks 16th (5.0).
  • The Clippers rank seventh in fast break points per game (15.0) while the Thunder rank last (8.6).
  • The Clippers average 49.6 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Thunder rank 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (49.6).
  • Oklahoma City ranks 20th in steals per game (7.4) while Los Angeles ranks 23rd in steals allowed per game (8.3).
  • Los Angeles ranks third in rebounds per game (48.0) while Oklahoma City ranks 26th (42.3).
  • Oklahoma City is 5-3 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Los Angeles is 10-0.
  • The Clippers are 20-5 when they reach the century mark, while the Thunder are 14-8.
  • Los Angeles is 6-8 ATS on the road, while Oklahoma City is 8-6-1 ATS at home.
  • Of the Clippers’ 14 road games, they have 7 overs and 7 unders.
  • Of the Thunder’s 15 home games, they have 8 overs and 7 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Clippers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Thunder are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Los Angeles has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Oklahoma City has 4 overs and 1 under.
  • During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 120.2 points per game (4.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.2 points per game (2.9 above their season average).
  • The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.2, up from 1.1 for the season.