Expect a high-scoring game when the Citadel Bulldogs (6-5), 25-point underdogs, meet the North Carolina State Wolfpack (8-3) at PNC Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 165 points and it will air on ACC Network at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 22, 2019.
Citadel Bulldogs vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack ATS Odds
In their last contest, the Wolfpack lost to the 12th-ranked Auburn Tigers, 79-73, while the Bulldogs won a close one over the Longwood Lancers, 102-99.
Citadel dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a great free throw rate of 0.286 (above their season average of 0.208) and a turnover percentage of 16.0 (better than their season average of 17.3). Longwood had marks of 0.153 and 17.9, respectively, for those same stats. North Carolina State, meanwhile, held Auburn to an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.6 (below their season average of 36.5). C.J. Bryce had a good performance for North Carolina State with 21 points and 11 rebounds. Meanwhile, Citadel was led by Kaelon Harris, who finished with 27 points and 10 rebounds.
Oddsmakers are known to set the total low when the Bulldogs are playing, as six of their eight contests have ended over the total. Citadel comes into the contest with records of 6-5 straight up (SU) and 5-3 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Wolfpack games, with 6 overs compared to 5 unders. Further, North Carolina State owns records of 8-3 SU and 7-4 ATS.
North Carolina State appears to have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Wolfpack rank 40th in offensive efficiency, while Citadel ranks 166th in defensive efficiency.
Citadel Bulldogs vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack Betting Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – North Carolina State, ATS Winner – North Carolina State, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- North Carolina State ranks 42nd in three pointers allowed per game (19.0) while Citadel ranks 255th (28.1).
- The Bulldogs rank 53rd in rebounds per game (38.9) while the Wolfpack rank 167th in rebounds allowed per game (36.0).
- North Carolina State averages 14.1 assists per game, which ranks 88th in the NCAA. Citadel ranks 202nd in assists allowed per game (15.0).
- The Wolfpack rank 40th in steals per game (8.6) while the Bulldogs rank 174th in steals allowed per game (8.2).
- North Carolina State ranks 34th in blocks per game (4.8) while Citadel ranks 150th (2.4).
Bettings Trends:
- The Wolfpack’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.2, down from 10.3 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Bulldogs have scored an average of 102.6 points per game (15.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 73.0 points per game (5.8 below their season average).
