The Buffalo Bills (+2) are set to face off against the Pittsburgh Steelers (-2) at Heinz Field. This pivotal Sunday Night showdown gets going at 8:20 p.m. ET and spectators can view the action live on NBC.
Week 15 Betting Preview: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 2 points. The Bills are also receiving +110 moneyline odds while the Steelers are -130. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 37 points. There will probably be some good in-game betting opportunities in this showdown.
The line has recently shifted down from 1.5 to where it stands now (-2). The game’s total hasn’t changed after being initially set at 37.
Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Bills have gained 5.7 units and the Steelers are ahead 3.7 units.
The Bills have gone 9-4 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Steelers are 8-5 SU.
The Bills came up short to Baltimore 24-17 in a Week 14 game where their defense allowed the Ravens to eat up the clock by running for 118 yards on 33 rush attempts. On the offensive side, Josh Allen completed just 17 passes on 39 attempts for 146 yards and one touchdown. Devin Singletary (89 rushing yards on 17 attempts) led the running attack while Singletary (six receptions, 29 yards) and Cole Beasley (four catches, 29 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Pittsburgh just picked up a 23-17 win over Arizona last week. Devlin Hodges completed 16-of-19 passes for 152 yards and one touchdown. Benny Snell Jr. (41 yards on 16 rush attempts) mounted the running game as Diontae Johnson (six receptions, 60 yards, one TD) and James Washington (four catches, 33 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Buffalo has run the ball on 47.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Pittsburgh has an overall rush percentage of 44.8 percent. The Bills have run for 135.3 yards per game and have 12 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Steelers are logging 94.6 rushing yards per game and have six total rush TDs.
The Bills offense has logged 222.5 yards/contest through the air overall and has 18 passing scores so far. The Steelers have produced 208 pass yards per contest and have 16 total pass TDs.
Buffalo should have an edge when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents run for an average of 105.3 yards and pass for 211.5 yards per game. The Pittsburgh defense has allowed 233.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 101.2 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Bills have given up an ANY/A of 4.80 to opposing QBs, while the Steelers are yielding an ANY/A of 4.77.
Hodges likely has the edge over Allen in this matchup. The Steelers man under center has an adjusted net yards per pass attempt 7.14 for the season and 7.48 over his past two games while Allen’s ANY/A is 5.60 and 4.78 over his last two.
Buffalo Bills vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Pick
SU Winner: Bills, ATS Winner: Bills, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- Buffalo, as a team, has produced 4.5 yards per carry across its past three games and 4.0 over its last two.
- Pittsburgh has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.9 over its last two.
- Pittsburgh has lost eight fumbles this season while Buffalo has lost five.
- Pittsburgh has won eight of its last nine games SU, with a -14-point defeat to Cleveland on November 14th accounting for the one loss over that stretch.
- The Bills offense has registered five pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Steelers have put up eight such plays.
- The Buffalo defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Pittsburgh has given up five such plays.
- The Buffalo offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Pittsburgh has created eight such runs.
- The Bills defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Steelers have given up five such runs.
- The Pittsburgh defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 48 times this year. Buffalo has produced just 38 sacks.
