The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5) are making a trip north to take on the Detroit Lions at Ford Field. This early afternoon game is scheduled to start at 1:00 p.m. ET and FOX has the TV rights.
Betting Preview: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions
Detroit is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 3.5 points. The Buccaneers are also receiving -160 moneyline odds while the Lions are +140. Some decent live betting opportunities should be unveiled during the match, and Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 47.5 points.
Early action has been swaying in favor of the Lions, as the opening line was 4.5. The game’s over/under has yet to move after it was set initially at 47.5.
The Buccaneers are 4-8-1 against the spread (ATS) and have recorded 1.4 units so far. The team has posted an O/U mark of 10-3.
The Lions have lost 6.2 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 6-7 ATS and the over’s hit in eight of their games.
The Buccaneers are 6-7 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Lions are 3-9-1 SU.
Detroit enters this matchup on a zero-game winning streak while Tampa Bay has lost zero straight. The Buccaneers just got a 38-35 win over Indianapolis last week. The Bucs secondary allowed the Colts to air it out for 251 yards and two touchdowns. Offensively, Jameis Winston completed 33-of-45 passes for 456 yards, four touchdowns and three interceptions. Ronald Jones II (only 36 rushing yards on 11 attempts) and Peyton Barber (34 yards on 11 carries) led the ground attack while Chris Godwin (seven receptions, 91 yards) and Justin Watson (five catches, 59 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Detroit just dropped a 20-7 game to Minnesota in Week 14. David Blough completed 24-of-40 passes for 205 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Bo Scarbrough (65 yards on 19 rush attempts) spearheaded the running game while Kenny Golladay (six receptions, 58 yards, one TD) and Danny Amendola (five catches, 34 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.
Tampa Bay has run the ball on 39.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Detroit has an overall rush percentage of 42 percent. The Buccaneers have produced 94.6 rush yards per game and have 14 scores on the ground this year. The Lions are averaging 102.8 rushing yards per game and have four total rush TDs.
The Bucs offense has tallied 317.9 yards/game in the air overall and has 26 passing scores so far. The Lions have produced 282.2 pass yards per outing and also have 26 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Tampa Bay has allowed 75.5 rush yards and 299.2 pass yards per game. The Detroit defense has given up 289.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 118.2 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bucs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.64 to opposing QBs, while the Lions have given up a 7.7 ANY/A.
Winston has been more efficient than Blough of late, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 6.01for the season (and 7.65 over the past two games). Blough’s ANY/A is 2.02 for the season and 4.06 over his past two games.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions Betting Pick
SU Winner: Lions, ATS Winner: Lions, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The Tampa Bay defensive unit has 34 sacks on the year while Detroit has just 25.
- The Detroit offense has lost seven fumbles this season while Tampa Bay has lost nine.
- The Buccaneers offense has tallied 12 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Lions have accounted for 10 such plays.
- The Tampa Bay defense has allowed 11 pass plays of 40+ yards, while Detroit has given up nine such plays.
- The Tampa Bay offense has created seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Detroit has created four such runs.
- The Buccaneers defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Lions have given up five such runs.
- The Over/Under for Detroit’s last outing was set at 44. The under cashed in the 20-7 defeat to Minnesota.
- Over its last three matches, Detroit is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- Over its last three games, Tampa Bay is 2-0-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- Detroit has lost 10 of its last 11 games SU, with a five-point triumph over New York on October 27th accounting for its only win over that stretch.
- The Over/Under for Tampa Bay’s last game was set at 46.5. The over cashed in the team’s 38-35 win over Indianapolis.
- Tampa Bay has averaged 3.0 yards per carry over its last three games and 2.5 over its last two.
- Detroit has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.6 over its last two.
