The Dallas Mavericks (16-7) go head-to-head with the Detroit Pistons (10-14) at Mexico City Arena. The Pistons opened as 5-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 220.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 12, 2019.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Detroit Pistons Betting Odds
The Pistons come in on a high note after covering the 1-point spread against the New Orleans Pelicans in their last game, 105-103. The Mavericks, meanwhile, were beat by the Sacramento Kings, 110-106, and failed to cover as 8.5-point underdogs. The Detroit game finished 19 points under the projected point total of 227, while the Dallas game finished 1 point over the projected point total of 215.
The Pistons made 22 of their 27 free throws (81.5 percent) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.488 vs. 0.484). Dallas, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (26.3 vs. 18.9). Detroit’s Derrick Rose led the way, contributing 21 points and seven assists. Luka Doncic, meanwhile fueled Dallas with 27 points, eight assists and seven rebounds.
This series was highly contested last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. The Pistons won the last contest 93-89. Detroit’s 0.209 free throw rate was their biggest strength over Dallas, who had a rate of 0.114. This will be the first meeting of the year between these two teams.
Mavericks games tend to go over the total (60.9 percent). Dallas holds records of 16-7 straight up (SU) and 14-9 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Pistons’ 24 games, 13 have finished over the O/U total. Additionally, Detroit is 10-14 SU and 10-12-2 ATS.
Detroit should have an advantage on the offensive glass in this contest. The Pistons currently rank eighth in offensive rebounding percentage (23.4 percent), while Dallas ranks 18th in defensive rebounding percentage (77.0 percent). The Mavericks should have an advantage in terms of ball protection. They rank 1st at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.0 percent). Conversely, the Pistons force the fifth-fewest turnovers in the league (opponents’ turnover percentage of 13.2 percent).
Dallas Mavericks vs. Detroit Pistons Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pistons rank 10th in points in the paint per game (48.2) while the Mavericks rank 17th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.1).
- Dallas ranks fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.2) while Detroit ranks 26th (19.1).
- The Mavericks rank second in three pointers attempted per game (40.5) while the Pistons rank 18th (31.5).
- Dallas ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.7) while Detroit ranks 16th (5.0).
- Dallas ranks third in second chance points per game (15.2) while Detroit ranks 13th (13.4).
- The Mavericks rank third in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Pistons rank 23rd (8.3).
- The Pistons rank 15th in fast break points allowed per game (13.5) while the Mavericks rank 26th (15.1).
- Dallas ranks 14th in assists per game (24.3) while Detroit ranks 19th in assists allowed per game (24.9).
- Dallas ranks fourth in rebounds per game (47.7) while Detroit ranks 23rd (43.2).
- Detroit is 4-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Dallas is 3-0.
- The Mavericks are 16-6 when they reach 100 points, while the Pistons are 9-11.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Dallas and Detroit are both 4-1 ATS.
- The Mavericks have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Pistons have 3 overs and 2 unders
- During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 117.8 points per game (0.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 101.0 points per game (7.3 below their season average).
- The Pistons’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.4, up from 0.3 for the season.
