The Minnesota Timberwolves (10-13) welcome the Utah Jazz (13-11) to Target Center. The Timberwolves are 1.5-point underdogs and look to snap their five-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 222.5 points and it begins at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 11, 2019.
Utah Jazz vs. Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Odds
Both teams were beaten in their last outing. The Timberwolves (3-point underdogs) were defeated by the Phoenix Suns, 125-109, while the Jazz (8.5-point favorites) fell to the Oklahoma City Thunder, 104-90. The Minnesota game went 1.5 points over the projected point total of 232.5, while the Utah game finished 12 points under the projected point total of 206.
Utah held Oklahoma City to an offensive rebounding percentage of 4.7 (below their season average of 18.9) while Minnesota did a fantastic job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (23-29; 79.3 percent). Karl-Anthony Towns played well for Minnesota with 33 points and 15 rebounds. Rudy Gobert had a good outing for Utah, finishing with 19 points and 17 rebounds.
The Jazz had the upper hand in the most recent game, a 103-95 victory, to even the season series at one. In the victory, Bojan Bogdanovic led all scorers with 30 points. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Utah’s biggest strengths. They made 27 trips to the line, while Minnesota went 21 times. Utah covered as a 3-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 198 points, which was well under the projected point total of 223.
Vegas is known to set the total high when the Jazz are involved, as 58.3 percent of their games have ended under the projected point total. Utah heads into the contest with records of 13-11 straight up (SU) and 9-15 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Utah, games featuring the Timberwolves tend to finish over the total (60.9 percent). Additionally, Minnesota owns records of 10-13 SU and 9-13-1 ATS.
It will be a matchup of conflicting tempos as the up-tempo Timberwolves (ranked second in the NBA in possessions per game) will look to push the more methodical Jazz (20th in possessions per game).
Jazz vs. Timberwolves Free Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Timberwolves are 25th in the league with 15.2 points off turnovers per game while the Jazz are 27th with 14.9 points off turnovers per game.
- Minnesota ranks sixth in second chance points per game (14.5) while Utah ranks 29th (9.9).
- The Jazz rank seventh in rebounds allowed per game (43.8) while the Timberwolves rank 25th (46.9).
- Utah ranks second in assists allowed per game (21.0) while Minnesota ranks 19th (24.7).
- Minnesota ranks fifth in three pointers attempted per game (38.4) while Utah ranks 21st (31.3).
- The Timberwolves rank third in blocks per game (6.4) while the Jazz rank 25th (4.0).
- The Timberwolves rank 12th in steals per game (8.0) while the Jazz rank 28th (6.1).
- Utah is 27th in the NBA with 10.8 fast break points per game while Minnesota is 29th with 10.3 fast break points per game.
- Minnesota ranks fifth in points in the paint per game (50.5) while Utah ranks 23rd (44.8).
- Utah is 6-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Minnesota is 1-0.
- The Jazz are 12-6 when they score above 100 points, while the Timberwolves are 10-9.
- Minnesota is 2-7-1 ATS at home, while Utah is 4-8 ATS on the road.
- In 12 road games, the Jazz have 8 unders and 4 overs.
- In 10 home games, the Timberwolves have 5 overs and 5 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- The Jazz are 1-4 ATS over their last five games, while the Timberwolves are 0-5.
- In their last five games, Utah has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Minnesota has 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Jazz’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.8, up from 0.2 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 116.4 points per game (1.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 128.4 points per game (11.0 above their season average).
