The Brooklyn Nets (13-10) will be 9.5-point favorites at home in the Barclays Center when they clash against the Charlotte Hornets (10-16). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 217 points and it will air on YES Network at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 11, 2019.
Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets ATS Odds
Both teams covered in their last game. The Nets (4-point underdogs) defeated the Denver Nuggets 105-102, while the Hornets (1.5-point favorite) beat the Washington Wizards 114-107. The Brooklyn game went 5 points under the projected point total of 212, while the Charlotte game finished 1.5 points under the projected point total of 222.5.
The Hornets made 22 of their 28 free throws (78.6 percent) and held the Wizards to an effective field goal percentage of 0.483 (below their season average of 0.542). The Nets, meanwhile, held the Nuggets to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.6 (below their season average of 23.8). The Nuggets had a free throw rate of 0.135 (below the 0.197 mark opponents have averaged against Brooklyn this season). Brooklyn received a boost from Jarrett Allen, who put up 19 points and 11 rebounds. Devonte’ Graham had a solid performance for Charlotte, finishing with 29 points and six assists.
The Nets have won both matchups against the Hornets this year. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to put up 215 points, just under the projected point total of 219.5. Brooklyn won 111-104, covering as a 3-point favorite. Brooklyn out-rebounded Charlotte. The Nets had 15 offensive rebounds and 49 total rebounds, while the Hornets had 10 and 34, respectively. Despite the loss, Graham was the game’s leading scorer with 29 points.
Of the Hornets’ 25 games with betting action, 13 have finished over the projected point total. Charlotte heads into the contest with records of 10-16 straight up (SU) and 12-13 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Charlotte, games including the Nets have a slight tendency to go under the projected point total (47.8 percent). Additionally, Brooklyn is 13-10 SU and 13-9-1 ATS.
The Hornets’ Graham has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 23 points,8.6 assists per game. Meanwhile, Spencer Dinwiddie has averaged 23 points,8.6 assists,1.4 steals during that same time frame for the Nets.
The offensive glass should be a major edge for Brooklyn in this showdown. The Nets currently rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (24.1 percent), while Charlotte ranks 28th in defensive rebounding percentage (74.7 percent).
Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Nets rank fourth in fast break points allowed per game (11.8) while the Hornets rank 10th (12.4).
- Brooklyn ranks third in assists allowed per game (22.0) while Charlotte ranks last (27.8).
- The Nets average 37.2 three pointers per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Hornets rank 22nd in three pointers allowed per game (34.9).
- Brooklyn ranks 16th in steals allowed per game (7.9) while Charlotte ranks 28th (8.8).
- Brooklyn ranks eighth in second chance points per game (14.1) while Charlotte ranks 14th in second chance points allowed per game (13.1).
- The Nets rank fourth in points in the paint per game (51.6) while the Hornets rank 26th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.8).
- The Hornets rank 10th in points off turnovers per game (17.9) while the Nets rank 19th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.0).
- Brooklyn ranks fifth in rebounds per game (47.2) while Charlotte ranks 25th (41.9).
- Brooklyn and Charlotte are both 2-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points.
- In games where they score more than 100 points, the Hornets are 9-10 and the Nets are 13-8.
- Brooklyn is 7-4 ATS at home, while Charlotte is 6-6 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 6 of the Nets’ 11 home games, while 8 of the Hornets’ 12 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Nets are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Hornets are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Brooklyn has 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push, while Charlotte has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 112.8 points per game (0.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.0 points per game (4.9 below their season average).
- The Hornets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.0, down from 7.1 for the season.