It will be a clash between two superb defenses when the Philadelphia 76ers (17-7), 4-point favorites, take on the Denver Nuggets (14-7) at Wells Fargo Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 206 points and it will air on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 10, 2019.
Denver Nuggets at Philadelphia 76ers ATS Odds
The 76ers will look to maintain momentum after covering the 3-point spread against the Toronto Raptors in their last game, 110-104. The Nuggets, on the other hand, were topped by the Brooklyn Nets, 105-102, and failed to cover as 4-point underdogs. The Philadelphia game finished 0.5 points under the projected point total of 214.5, while the Denver game went 5 points under the projected point total of 212.
The 76ers, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.539, had a superb mark of 0.595 and had a better free throw rate (0.203 vs. 0.193). Denver, meanwhile, was on fire from three-point land (18-42; 42.9 percent). Philadelphia’s Ben Simmons had a good outing, contributing 16 points, 11 rebounds and nine assists. Meanwhile, Nikola Jokic played a pivotal role for Denver with 24 points, 11 rebounds and six assists.
In their first matchup this year, Jokic led the Nuggets to a 100-97 victory. He recorded a double-double with 26 points and 10 rebounds. Denver was unable to cover as a 5-point favorite and the two teams combined for 197 points, which was under the projected point total of 211.5. The Nuggets’ 9.6 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the 76ers, who had a rate of 15.4.
Of the Nuggets’ 21 games, 16 have finished under the projected point total. Denver has a respectable 14-7 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 8-11-2 against the spread (ATS).
There does not appear to be a trend for games including the 76ers in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Moreover, Philadelphia owns records of 17-7 SU and 12-11-1 ATS.
Philadelphia might struggle to put up points as they battle against one of the league’s best defenses. Denver ranks third in defensive efficiency while the 76ers rank 13th in offensive efficiency.
Denver Nuggets vs. Philadelphia 76ers Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The 76ers rank first in rebounds allowed per game (39.4) while the Nuggets rank eighth (44.9).
- Denver ranks third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.4) while Philadelphia ranks 17th (17.6).
- The 76ers rank first in three pointers allowed per game (26.8) while the Nuggets rank 13th (33.0).
- Denver ranks 16th in second chance points per game (12.7) while Philadelphia ranks 25th (11.8).
- Philadelphia ranks 10th in points in the paint per game (48.3) while Denver ranks 18th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.5).
- The 76ers rank first in assists allowed per game (20.4) while the Nuggets rank 15th (23.9).
- The 76ers rank fourth in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while the Nuggets rank 12th (4.6).
- Philadelphia ranks second in steals per game (8.9) while Denver ranks 15th (7.7).
- Philadelphia and Denver are both 9-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points.
- The 76ers are 15-4 when they reach the century mark, while the Nuggets are 12-4.
- Denver is 4-5-1 ATS on the road, while Philadelphia is 7-5 ATS at home.
- The Nuggets have 7 unders and 3 overs in 10 road games.
- Of the 76ers’ 12 home games, they have 7 unders, 4 overs and 1 push.
Bettings Trends:
- The 76ers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Nuggets are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Philadelphia has 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push, while Denver has 4 unders and 1 over.
- During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 117.2 points per game (7.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 105.4 points per game (1.4 above their season average).
- The Nuggets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.8, down from 4.6 for the season.
