Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Utah Jazz Free Prediction 12/09/19

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The Oklahoma City Thunder (10-12), 8.5-point underdogs, will be at Vivint Smart Home Arena to take on the Utah Jazz (13-10) in a Northwest Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 212.5 points and it is scheduled to start at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, December 9, 2019.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Utah Jazz ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last game. The Jazz (11.5-point favorites) defeated the Memphis Grizzlies 126-112, while the Thunder (3.5-point underdog) beat the Portland Trail Blazers 108-96. The Utah game went 20 points over the projected point total of 218, while the Oklahoma City game finished 13 points under the projected point total of 217.

The Thunder made 27 of their 34 free throws (79.4 percent) and held the Trail Blazers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.405 (below their season average of 0.521). Meanwhile, Utah played a nearly flawless game. They had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 28.1 (above their season average of 19.0) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.681 (above their season average of 0.519). Memphis put up marks of 13.5 and 0.593, respectively, for those same stats. Utah was lifted by Rudy Gobert, who finished with 19 points, 11 rebounds and five assists. Meanwhile, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way for Oklahoma City, recording 21 points and nine rebounds.

In their first matchup this year, Donovan Mitchell led the Jazz to a 100-95 victory. He recorded a double-double with 32 points and 12 rebounds. Utah was unable to cover as a 9-point favorite and the two teams combined for 195 points, which was well under the projected point total of 221.5. The Jazz’s 21.2 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over the Thunder, who had a rate of 15.6.

Vegas is known to place the total high when the Thunder are involved, as 57.1 percent of their games have gone under the total. Oklahoma City holds records of 10-12 straight up (SU) and 12-8-1 against the spread (ATS).

Jazz games also tend to finish under the O/U total (56.5 percent). Additionally, Utah owns records of 13-10 SU and 9-14 ATS.

It could be a tough game for Oklahoma City on the offensive glass. The Thunder are among the league’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 30th in offensive rebounding percentage at 18.9 percent. Meanwhile, Utah ranks third in the league at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 79.9 percent.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Utah Jazz ATS Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Thunder rank 26th in second chance points per game (10.5) while the Jazz rank 27th (10.0).
  • Oklahoma City ranks fifth in fast break points allowed per game (11.9) while Utah ranks 22nd (14.2).
  • The Jazz rank 20th in three pointers attempted per game (31.3) while the Thunder rank 25th (29.6).
  • Oklahoma City averages 4.8 blocks per game, which ranks 18th in the NBA. Utah ranks 21st in blocks allowed per game (5.5).
  • Utah is 25th in the league with 15.3 points off turnovers per game while Oklahoma City is 26th with 15.2 points off turnovers per game.
  • The Jazz rank 15th in rebounds per game (45.1) while the Thunder rank 25th (42.8).
  • The Jazz are second in the NBA with 21.0 assists allowed per game while the Thunder are fourth with 22.5 assists allowed per game.
  • Oklahoma City ranks 18th in steals per game (7.3) while Utah ranks 26th (6.1).
  • When holding opponents under 100 points, Oklahoma City is 4-2 and Utah is 6-1.
  • When scoring over 100 points, the Jazz are 12-6 and the Thunder are 10-7.
  • Utah is 5-6 ATS at home, while Oklahoma City is 5-4 ATS on the road.
  • The Thunder have 5 unders and 4 overs in 9 road games.
  • In 11 home games, the Jazz have 6 overs and 5 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Thunder are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Jazz are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Oklahoma City has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Utah has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 112.6 points per game (4.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.6 points per game (0.9 below their season average).
  • The Jazz have been outscored by an average of 6.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Utah has defeated opponents by an average of 0.4 points.