The Golden State Warriors (5-19) will be 3-point favorites at home in the Chase Center when they square off with the Memphis Grizzlies (6-16). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 217.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, December 9, 2019.
Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors ATS Odds
In the Warriors’ last game, they won a close one over the Chicago Bulls, 100-98, despite being 4.5-point underdogs. The Grizzlies, on the other hand, were topped by the Utah Jazz, 126-112, and were not able to cover as 11.5-point underdogs. The Golden State game went 18 points under the projected point total of 216, while the Memphis game finished 20 points over the projected point total of 218.
The Warriors had a much better free throw rate (0.211 vs. 0.034) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.599 (above their season average of 0.482). Memphis, meanwhile, forced Utah into a turnover percentage of 20.0 (above their season average of 14.2). Golden State’s Glenn Robinson III had a good game, finishing with 20 points and seven rebounds. Meanwhile, Memphis was led by Jaren Jackson Jr., who put up 26 points.
In their first matchup this season, Alec Burks led the Warriors to a 114-95 victory. He scored a game-high 29 points. The two teams combined for 209 points, which was under the projected point total of 221.5, and Golden State covered as a 7-point underdog. The Warriors’ 26.8 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over the Grizzlies, who had a rate of 14.9.
Just over half of the Grizzlies’ games have finished under the total. Memphis holds records of 6-16 straight up (SU) and 8-14 against the spread (ATS).
Just over half of Warriors games have also finished under the total. Additionally, Golden State owns records of 5-19 SU and 11-13 ATS.
The physical Golden State offense might be getting to the foul line a lot in this showdown. The Warriors currently rank eighth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.220, while Memphis ranks 22nd in FTA rate allowed (0.223).
Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Grizzlies rank 10th in steals per game (8.0) while the Warriors rank 18th in steals allowed per game (8.0).
- Memphis ranks first in points in the paint per game (54.2) while Golden State ranks 25th (44.3).
- The Grizzlies rank 11th in second chance points per game (13.8) while the Warriors rank 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (14.0).
- Memphis ranks fifth in fast-break points per game (15.8) while Golden State ranks 17th in fast-break points allowed per game (13.3).
- Memphis ranks 18th in three pointers attempted per game (31.5) while Golden State ranks 27th (28.2).
- The Grizzlies average 26.3 assists per game, which ranks fifth in the league. The Warriors rank 26th in assists allowed per game (25.7).
- The Grizzlies average 5.2 blocks per game, which ranks 12th in the league. The Warriors rank 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.6).
- Golden State ranks 15th in points off turnovers per game (17.5) while Memphis ranks last in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.5).
- In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Golden State is 3-1.
- The Grizzlies are 6-11 when they reach the century mark, while the Warriors are 5-11.
- Golden State is 4-5 ATS at home, while Memphis is 3-6 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 5 of the Warriors’ 9 home games, while 5 of the Grizzlies’ 9 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Warriors are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Grizzlies are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Golden State has 4 unders and 1 over, while Memphis has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 94.2 points per game (10.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.0 points per game (8.0 below their season average).
- The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.0, down from 8.3 for the season.
