The Kansas City Chiefs and New England Patriots will square off on the turf at Gillette Stadium. The opening kickoff for this importantmatchup is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET and CBS will broadcast the action.
Betting Preview: New England Patriots vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is playing the role of underdog and is currently getting 3 points in this AFC game. The Chiefs are also receiving +130 moneyline odds while the Patriots are -150. Some solid live betting possibilities could be unveiled during the game, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 49 points.
Early action has been slanting to both the Chiefs and the under. This game’s line originally opened at -4 while the over/under was initially 50.5.
The Chiefs are 7-5 against the spread (ATS) and are down 0.8 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U mark of 7-5.
The Patriots have gained 3.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 7-5 ATS and have an O/U record of 4-8.
The Chiefs are 8-4 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Patriots are 10-2 SU.
The Chiefs are coming off a resounding 40-9 win over Oakland in Week 13 in which Patrick Mahomes completed only 15 passes on 29 attempts for 175 yards and one touchdown. Darwin Thompson (44 rushing yards on 11 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack while Travis Kelce (five receptions, 90 yards) and Tyreek Hill (five catches, 55 yards) manned the receiving duties in the win.
New England just lost a 28-22 game to Houston last week. Tom Brady completed 24-of-47 passes for 326 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. James White carved up the opposing defense in the loss. Along with 79 yards on 14 rush attempts, White also reeled in eight catches for 98 yards and two scores.
Kansas City has run the ball on 37.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New England has a rush percentage of 40.2 percent. The Chiefs have produced 94.5 rush yards/game and have 12 scores on the ground this year. The Pats are totaling 96.3 rushing yards per game and have 13 total rush TDs.
The Chiefs offensive scheme has averaged 303.5 yards through the air overall and has 24 passing scores so far. The Pats have recorded 277.4 pass yards per contest and have 19 total pass TDs.
Kansas City has allowed opponents to run for an average of 141.3 yards and pass for 252.6 yards per game. The New England defense has allowed 186 yards per game to opposing passers and 94.5 yards per game on the ground. The Pats are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 2.81 to opposing QBs, while the Chiefs have given up a 5.64 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Mahomes is up to 2,801 yards this season. He’s completed 65 percent of his 320 attempts with 19 scores through the air and only one interception. He has a 9.19 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 5.37 over the past two outings.
On the other sideline, Tom Brady has completed 280-of-449 passes for 3,078 yards, 17 TDs and six INTs. Brady’s ANY/A stands at 6.43 for the season and 5.83 across his past two outings.
Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots NFL Prediction
SU Winner: Chiefs, ATS Winner: Chiefs, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The Over/Under for Kansas City’s previous game going into it was 50.5. The under cashed in the team’s 40-9 victory over Oakland.
- Kansas City has averaged 4.0 yards per rush attempt across its past three contests and 4.0 over its last two.
- New England has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.4 over its past two.
- The New England offense has lost four fumbles this season while Kansas City has lost nine.
- In its last three contests, Kansas City is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for New England’s previous matchup was 47. The over cashed in the 28-22 defeat to Houston.
- In its last three contests, New England is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Chiefs offense has tallied 15 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Patriots have accounted for five such plays.
- The Kansas City defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while New England has given up two such plays.
- The Kansas City offense has created nine rushing plays of 20+ yards, while New England has created four such runs.
- The Chiefs defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Patriots have given up three such runs.
- The New England defense has sacked opposing QBs 40 times this year. Kansas City has recorded just 34 sacks.
