Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers ATS Prediction 12/08/19

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The Oklahoma City Thunder (9-12), 4-point underdogs, will be at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to meet the Portland Trail Blazers (9-14) in a Northwest Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 223 points and it will air on Fox SportsNet Oklahoma at 9 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 8, 2019.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Portland Trail Blazers Betting Odds

The Thunder beat the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last matchup, 139-127, easily covering as 3.5-point favorites. The Trail Blazers, on the other hand, were blown out by the Los Angeles Lakers, 136-113, and failed to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Oklahoma City game finished 49 points over the projected point total of 217, while the Portland game went 24 points over the projected point total of 225.

Oklahoma City dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a phenomenal free throw rate of 0.409 (above their season average of 0.223) and a turnover percentage of 8.7 (better than their season average of 12.8). For those same stats, Minnesota was 0.146 and 11.0, respectively. Portland, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (13.2 vs. 13.9). Damian Lillard had a good outing for Portland, putting up 29 points, eight assists and seven rebounds. Meanwhile, Steven Adams played a key role for Oklahoma City with 22 points and 11 rebounds.

The Trail Blazers have won both contests against the Thunder this year. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to score 255 points, well over the projected point total of 219.5. Portland won 136-119, covering as a 3-point favorite. The Trail Blazers’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Thunder. Portland had a rate of 25.0, while Oklahoma City posted a mark of 15.4. Despite the loss, Abdel Nader was a top performer in the game with 23 points.

Of the Thunder’s 21 games, 12 have finished under the O/U total. Oklahoma City heads into the game with records of 9-12 straight up (SU) and 12-8-1 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Trail Blazers’ 23 games, 12 have finished over the O/U total. Further, Portland is 9-14 SU and 10-12-1 ATS.

Portland could put on a ball-control clinic in this contest. Portland ranks fourth in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.0 percent), while Oklahoma City forces the ninth-fewest turnovers (13.7 percent). Also, the Thunder, who rank second in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.232), will battle against the Trail Blazers, who rank 30th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.241).

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Pick

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Thunder rank 21st in points in the paint per game (45.9) while the Trail Blazers rank 26th (43.6).
  • Portland ranks 11th in fast break points per game (13.8) while Oklahoma City ranks 29th (8.6).
  • The Thunder rank 15th in second chance points allowed per game (13.0) while the Trail Blazers rank 29th (15.8).
  • Portland ranks fifth in blocks per game (6.1) while Oklahoma City ranks 18th (4.9).
  • Oklahoma City ranks 24th in points off turnovers per game (15.6) while Portland ranks last (13.5).
  • The Trail Blazers rank 11th in rebounds per game (46.1) while the Thunder rank 27th (42.2).
  • The Thunder rank 19th in steals per game (7.3) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th (6.0).
  • Oklahoma City is 25th in the NBA with 22.0 assists per game while Portland is 28th with 20.3 assists per game.
  • Oklahoma City ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (30.6) while Portland ranks 18th (34.0).
  • Oklahoma City is 3-2 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Portland is 2-0.
  • When scoring above 100 points, the Trail Blazers are 9-12 and the Thunder are 9-7.
  • Portland is 3-6 ATS at home, while Oklahoma City is 5-4 ATS on the road.
  • Of the Thunder’s 9 road games, they have 5 unders and 4 overs.
  • The Trail Blazers have 6 overs and 3 unders in 9 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Thunder are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Trail Blazers are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Oklahoma City has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Portland has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Thunder’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.8, up from 0.5 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 116.0 points per game (2.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 118.2 points per game (2.5 above their season average).