The Dallas Mavericks (16-6) and the Sacramento Kings (8-13) go head-to-head at American Airlines Center. The Mavericks are a 7.5-point favorite and will attempt to prolong their five-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 216 points and it can be seen on NBC Sports – California at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 8, 2019.
Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks Betting Odds
In their last outing, the Mavericks (5.5-point favorites) covered in a 130-84 win over the New Orleans Pelicans. The Kings were defeated by the San Antonio Spurs, 105-104, but did cover as 4.5-point underdogs. The Dallas game finished 14.5 points under the projected point total of 228.5, while the Sacramento game finished 5 points under the projected point total of 214.
Dallas dominated every facet of the game. They had an extraordinary effective field goal percentage of 0.610 (above their season average of 0.543) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.5 (below their season average of 24.2). New Orleans was 0.376 and 14.5, respectively, for those same stats. Sacramento, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (11.3 vs. 14.1). Dallas’ Luka Doncic had a good game, contributing 26 points, nine assists and six rebounds. Richaun Holmes played a key role for Sacramento with 13 points, 14 rebounds and five assists.
The Kings dominated this series last year, winning all three games. In the most recent game, Sacramento won 125-121. The Kings’ turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Mavericks. Sacramento had a rate of 6.5, while Dallas posted a mark of 10.8. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Of the Kings’ 21 games, 14 have gone under the total. Sacramento has an excellent record against the spread (13-8), despite being 8-13 straight up (SU).
Contrary to Sacramento, Mavericks games have a tendency to go over the total (61.9 percent). Further, Dallas is 16-6 SU and 13-8 ATS.
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, Dallas should have a considerable edge. The sharp-shooting Mavericks offense ranks fourth in the league in that metric at 0.546, while the porous Sacramento defense is ranked 21st in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.540).
Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks Odds Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Mavericks rank fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.1) while the Kings rank eighth (16.5).
- Sacramento ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (11.0) while Dallas ranks 24th (15.0).
- The Mavericks rank third in second chance points per game (15.4) while the Kings rank 16th (13.0).
- Dallas ranks 16th in points in the paint per game (46.9) while Sacramento ranks 28th (41.4).
- Dallas ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (40.4) while Sacramento ranks 12th (34.6).
- The Mavericks rank fourth in rebounds per game (48.1) while the Kings rank 26th (42.3).
- The Mavericks rank second in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while the Kings rank 12th (4.8).
- Dallas ranks fifth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Sacramento ranks 25th (8.6).
- When holding opponents below 100 points, Sacramento is 4-2 and Dallas is 3-0.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Kings are 8-7 and the Mavericks are 16-5.
- Sacramento is 8-4 ATS on the road, while Dallas is 5-6 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 7 of the Mavericks’ 11 home games, while 9 of the Kings’ 12 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Sacramento and Dallas have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Kings are 3-2.
- During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 120.6 points per game (2.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 101.6 points per game (6.6 below their season average).
- The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.4, up from 3.8 for the season.
